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Did anyone see the post(s) from Brad Ferguson (of Rebellionaire) pointing out that Joe Justice only worked at Tesla for 2 months (!!), yet we treat him like the ultimate Tesla expert? He had an image from LinkedIn noting the 2-month tenure, and Joe even replied and confirmed he worked for 2 months, $TSLA went up 10-fold, and he retired in Hawaii.... (!).
Claims to have been a paid consultant with Tesla since 2010, only an employee for the 2 month period.
 
This, this is my problem with Troy and why I ignore everything he has to say

He mix facts with opinions and is never clear which is which, and if call it out you get a nice block, and then there is the whole 99.999% accurate predictions, which we all know isn’t true

You can’t say stuff like that, not dive deeper and expect people to just take it, specially when data coming from Tesla suggests otherwise
Seems he is on a bear spree past 24 hrs

Now posted that Elons is hurting Europe sales … and should donate some powerwalls …

Maybe his Short PUTS are ITM ;)
 

One can be condescending and ignore this but something to the press hyping up UAW wins at transplants and another story talking about Tesla factory pay compared to competitors.

It still seems against the mission for the UAW to work so hard to bankrupt the competition before they can develop their EV models. 🤷‍♂️
 
 
As to "When will FSD be finished enough for Government approval?"

Again- This. Is. Not. A Thing.

Tesla could put self-driving cars on the road today in at least a dozen US states without needing "approval" from anybody.

The only reason they do not is they don't have self driving cars yet.

Certainly there's OTHER jurisdictions that DO require approval- but plenty that don't. It's not a barrier to Tesla delivering >L2 to millions of drivers the moment it's actually working and safe.




He sure spends a LOT of time shilling his books, seminars, youtube videos, and courses for a guy who is "retired"




Troy's latest X post, He is suggesting Y id demand limited, I wonder what his evidence is for this, given it's the best selling car in the world I find this rather unintuitiuve.

His point is Tesla has held back scaling production capacity in order to keep it as consistent as possible with demand-- which given how under-max-capacity Berlin and Austin are appears to be accurate.

Tesla COULD choose to make several hundred thousand more Y than they do today, but they don't have tons more buyers at current pricing for them on top of existing production. That's what Troy means-- not that there's no buyers for current production at current prices- just that there's not a massively large # of additional ones.

Tesla themselves tells us this by pointing out growth will be much smaller than usual for a while as they're between major product waves until next gen car is out.
 
As a doofus, it doesn’t surprise me that there are some indicators that a relatively expensive car that has few variations might be demand limited, especially when it is already the largest selling car in the world. Reducing price might increase demand or increasing the number of variations could work too. Perhaps a little bit of both. As I’ve said before, Tesla is well past selling to fans and is into the much harder business of conquest sales. Believe it or not but the color of an interior or trim or immediate availability matter more to most people I know than driving electric. In fact to some electric is a negative. I certainly don’t know for a fact that it is demand limited. It well may not be, but no product has infinite demand. Changing the subject slightly, it is my understanding that production at Germany and Texas is limited to some extent by lack of line workers not demand at this time.
 
He mix facts with opinions and is never clear which is which, and if call it out you get a nice block, and then there is the whole 99.999% accurate predictions, which we all know isn’t true

You can’t say stuff like that, not dive deeper and expect people to just take it, specially when data coming from Tesla suggests otherwise

Now you´re making stuff up. He always compares his estimates to the real data once it comes out. You can ignore him all you want but please stop the nonsense Troy bashing here it is getting so tiresome.


Do agree though he is sometimes not clear on interpretation vs. facts in his theses, but please don´t mix that up with his numbers.
 
I don't believe they can make EV models. They have to protect the ICE manufacturing employees.

Perhaps they have a short-sighted approach toward defining "protect" in regard to their ICE manufacturing employees.

They may come to realize how there is a markedly less beneficial return to be gained from a cooked goose than there is from a golden goose.
 
Perhaps they have a short-sighted approach toward defining "protect" in regard to their ICE manufacturing employees.

They may come to realize how there is a markedly less beneficial return to be gained from a cooked goose than there is from a golden goose.
The motivation is to collect (and sometimes abscond with) union dues, so they will act to increase the dues.
 
Again- This. Is. Not. A Thing.

Tesla could put self-driving cars on the road today in at least a dozen US states without needing "approval" from anybody.

The only reason they do not is they don't have self driving cars yet.

Certainly there's OTHER jurisdictions that DO require approval- but plenty that don't. It's not a barrier to Tesla delivering >L2 to millions of drivers the moment it's actually working and safe.





He sure spends a LOT of time shilling his books, seminars, youtube videos, and courses for a guy who is "retired"






His point is Tesla has held back scaling production capacity in order to keep it as consistent as possible with demand-- which given how under-max-capacity Berlin and Austin are appears to be accurate.

Tesla COULD choose to make several hundred thousand more Y than they do today, but they don't have tons more buyers at current pricing for them on top of existing production. That's what Troy means-- not that there's no buyers for current production at current prices- just that there's not a massively large # of additional ones.

Tesla themselves tells us this by pointing out growth will be much smaller than usual for a while as they're between major product waves until next gen car is out.
L5 certainly need government approval because as the sae definition allows the car to drive anywhere, meaning going across borders into places that require government approval. So yes, L4 geofencing may not require approval if it's only for a particular state. Tho I feel that any autonomous driving company would seek prior approval with data and give everyone a heads up as the first traffic blockage or accident causes all sorts of scrutiny in which stricter standards by the local government will be established.
 
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Seems he is on a bear spree past 24 hrs

Now posted that Elons is hurting Europe sales … and should donate some powerwalls …

Maybe his Short PUTS are ITM ;)

Troy should stick to his estimates, and not commenting on vague unfounded theories about the company and Elon. Although I noticed he updates his estimates throughout the quarter when new data comes out, so not sure how accurate they would be without that.
 
L5 certainly need government approval because the car the definition is that the car can drive anywhere, meaning going across border is into places that require government approval. So yes, L4 geofencing may not require approval if it's only for a particular state.


Uh... what?

L5 doesn't need any approval, from anybody, to put on the road in at least a dozen US states.

Right now.

If you put an L5 car on the road in Nevada next week- which you can do with no government approval at all then it's still an L5 car even if it's not approved in California.

L4 vs L5 is about capability, not legality. CAN it safely drive anywhere a human can? If yes it's L5. Those don't exist today though.

If you want that L5 car to drive into OTHER states (or countries) that do NOT allow them, that's obviously different LEGALLLY-- but that's the same as an L3 car- or an L4 car- both of which could cross state and country borders, and has nothing to do with "L5 needs government approval" and that limit doesn't make it not L5.


There's not even a government agency to approval it federally in the US for example-- NHTSA does not regulate such things at this time- leaving that regulation entirely to US states... which is WHY it's already legal in a number of them without anyone needing to "approve" it.


It's baffling this keeps coming up and keeps needing correcting-- often of and by the same folks.
 
Uh... what?

L5 doesn't need any approval, from anybody, to put on the road in at least a dozen US states.

Right now.

If you put an L5 car on the road in Nevada next week- which you can do with no government approval at all then it's still an L5 car even if it's not approved in California.

L4 vs L5 is about capability, not legality. CAN it safely drive anywhere a human can? If yes it's L5. Those don't exist today though.

If you want that L5 car to drive into OTHER states (or countries) that do NOT allow them, that's obviously different LEGALLLY-- but that's the same as an L3 car- or an L4 car- both of which could cross state and country borders, and has nothing to do with "L5 needs government approval" and that limit doesn't make it not L5.


There's not even a government agency to approval it federally in the US for example-- NHTSA does not regulate such things at this time- leaving that regulation entirely to US states... which is WHY it's already legal in a number of them without anyone needing to "approve" it.


It's baffling this keeps coming up and keeps needing correcting-- often of and by the same folks.

Perhaps it keeps coming up because the CEO of Tesla keeps saying FSD will need "regulatory approval" before robotaxis can be rolled out. 🤷‍♂️
 
Uh... what?

L5 doesn't need any approval, from anybody, to put on the road in at least a dozen US states.

Right now.

If you put an L5 car on the road in Nevada next week- which you can do with no government approval at all then it's still an L5 car even if it's not approved in California.

L4 vs L5 is about capability, not legality. CAN it safely drive anywhere a human can? If yes it's L5. Those don't exist today though.

If you want that L5 car to drive into OTHER states (or countries) that do NOT allow them, that's obviously different LEGALLLY-- but that's the same as an L3 car- or an L4 car- both of which could cross state and country borders, and has nothing to do with "L5 needs government approval" and that limit doesn't make it not L5.


There's not even a government agency to approval it federally in the US for example-- NHTSA does not regulate such things at this time- leaving that regulation entirely to US states... which is WHY it's already legal in a number of them without anyone needing to "approve" it.


It's baffling this keeps coming up and keeps needing correcting-- often of and by the same folks.
Explain to me how I can ride hail a robotaxi from Nevada to California today without regulatory approval?