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Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

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That makes no sense. You claim that gasoline is what drives Wawa's profits but everyone is switching to electric. Then you say even if they attract EV drivers, there won't be enough of them! See what you did there?

Did you know for a small fraction of the cost to install legacy gas pumps they can also install Superchargers?

Wawa's not going bankrupt anytime soon.

I’d say it’s not quite that simple. Currently, their customers get gas at their locations to run cars used for commuting, generally getting around town and occasional road trips. With the move to EV’s, large swaths of their previous customers will be “filling up” at home for the former two use cases. At the very least, their market becomes smaller.
 
Top Safety Pick Plus? MPG MPGe? That is a big nothing burger to her.

It's really sad how selfish humans can be. I know I care about protecting my family and other occupants whenever I'm responsible for them in my car. I also want to minimize the chances of making others sick reduce pollution of the when I decide I want to go somewhere. I would assume everyone would share these same values but apparently not.
 
Someone dumped lots of shares yesterday, then all of the momo traders, shorts, weak longs joined the dumping spree. Looking at the chart, Tesla finds a bottom around 23rd of each month. Pretty suspicious
Mostly I feel because of the headlines about "China's Tesla" which had zip zero nada to do with Tesla in China. Also pretty suspicious.
 
I’d say it’s not quite that simple. Currently, their customers get gas at their locations to run cars used for commuting, generally getting around town and occasional road trips. With the move to EV’s, large swaths of their previous customers will be “filling up” at home for the former two use cases. At the very least, their market becomes smaller.

To: Boss Short

Boss, should we approach gas stations for a donation to our troll farms ?
Would be a shame, if they lose more customers.

Chief Editor
Shortsville Times
 
The best solution is to make a list of short videos. So owners and future customers can learn. If Tesla is tight on resource, they can even ask supporters to help create/maintain the videos. I know they have some videos here and there, but not nearly enough. Make each video 30 seconds to 1 minute long, focus on one feature/topic. Then group them, all safety topics in one folder. Make sure everyone went through the safety folder before they take delivery.

Customer and Product Support | Tesla Support
Has how-tos, plus videos for the 3 different models. Seems like it could use an update to cover the new features.
Model 3 Support Videos | Tesla
Model S Support Videos
Model X Support Videos
 
The best solution is to make a list of short videos. So owners and future customers can learn. If Tesla is tight on resource, they can even ask supporters to help create/maintain the videos. I know they have some videos here and there, but not nearly enough. Make each video 30 seconds to 1 minute long, focus on one feature/topic. Then group them, all safety topics in one folder. Make sure everyone went through the safety folder before they take delivery.
I'm a TSLA owner but not yet a Tesla owner. It would make sense to have instructions and optional videos for operation, maintenance, and safety available on the LCD screen (kind of an augmented owner's manual if you will), if it's not there already. This would include info from the factory (which could automatically be updated as necessary) plus a section for the owner's text and audio/video notes to themselves and perhaps other drivers.

If that's not already being done, I think it would make for a great feature in the future.
 
You are mocking the concerns about Plainsite's reliability,.
Yeah. I apologize. It was over reaction to fatigue from the constant memes here that Tesla and Elon are the victims of an evil cabal of big Auto, big Oil, big Utilities etc. conspiring against them to undermine their noble mission, and that every gyration in the share price is manipulation by "da shortz" or Wall Street ghouls. That's not my view of reality, but I've read enough posts here to recognize many are emotionally invested in those themes, and I shouldn't have trampled on fellow humans' feelings.

My view of reality is that TSLA is an ideological battleground security with a paucity of useful information disclosed, which allows continual distortions by both proponents and skeptics--that's what creates the volatility and the intriguing yet risky opportunity to trade it profitably. One thing I've learned in the last decade is to not hold on to a position in either direction too long or you will soon be whipsawed.

...It's unclear to me who created those "redactions", but apparently anyone can submit documents to Plainsite and the founder of the site is apparently also a TSLAQ nutcase - and I suspect either the plaintiffs in that lawsuit of helpful TSLAQ people performed those selective redactions. News services like Bloomberg went ahead and took those distorted claims at face value, and reporting on them in such a fashion..
I don't do Twitter, Reddit or many of the other battleground sites unless someone posts a link here to something specific. I did not know about Plainsite's alleged bias, but it probably wouldn't have made a difference if I had. I've read enough motions and briefs in support thereof to evaluate whether the assertions seem credible in the context of other available circumstantial information regardless of how the filing was obtained. Advocating anyone should ignore potentially useful information in a court filing because of where it was published seem foolish, but I'll leave it to you and PlainSite to argue that one.


Likewise, these documents in the "Investors" (not really brought by geniuine {sic} Tesla investors but by ambulance chasing lawyers) too haven't posted actual deposition transcripts AFAIK, only the characterization of plaintiffs of what was said in depositions - which is not the same at all. For example if a legal filing by the plaintiffs has the words "Musk admitted during deposition that ...", this has very little legal weight without the full deposition transcript, their characterization might or might not be true - U.S. lawyers are allowed to ... bend the truth to the maximum extent to favor their clients, and then some more, and legal filings generally cannot be libel so basically everything goes.

I know nothing about the Plaintiffs (City of Riviera Beach Police Pension Fund). Are you sure they chase ambulances rather than driving or escorting ambulances?

No one in on-going discovery publishes "actual deposition transcripts." It would be expensive and silly. If a deposition excerpt is quoted in a court filing (motion, brief, etc.) it becomes part of the public record, unless a party is granted confidentiality. Pre-trial antics are a two way street, and I suspect the Defendants have capable counsel.
You know all this I suppose...

Actually, I did not know the Plainsite founder " is apparently also a TSLAQ nutcase" and about those ambulance chasers--thanks for checking those facts.
 
I’d say it’s not quite that simple. Currently, their customers get gas at their locations to run cars used for commuting, generally getting around town and occasional road trips. With the move to EV’s, large swaths of their previous customers will be “filling up” at home for the former two use cases. At the very least, their market becomes smaller.
Unless they live in apartments that don't have overnight charging capability that is, in which case their market may increase. Not everybody can charge at home, so this just increases the convenience of the store/fueling station.
 
Tesla guided for 2-3 GWh for energy this year. They should be at a 3 GWh / year rate by this point, so to be conservative, you should account for that.

Hopefully they’re above 28.5 GWh/ year rate:)
Per Carsonight, employees at GF1 have been told the goal is for 10K bty pack production by end of 2019. At an avg 65KWh/pack thats a 32GWh/yr run rate. Add in 3GWh for TE, and there's Panasonics' promised 35GWh/yr capacity.

That'll cover Tesla's needs for Model 3/Y at Fremont, but we're gonna need more for Semi and the pickup. GF3 will soon be independant for its bty needs, likely by the time Fremont ramps up Model Y.

Cheers!
 
Interesting that, in the section where they talk about curbing abusive naked short selling, they fail to mention their discontinuation of the uptick rule in 2007, the single action most responsible for reigning in abusive short sales ( previous to the implementation of the uptick rule, short selling on downticks was the cornerstone of abusive and manipulative short selling). Says a lot about the SEC and their woeful failure of protecting investors.
 
I'm confused as to why there isn't one in/near Seattle WA or Bellevue WA
Oh, so you haven't been to Seattle recently? It's changed.

VI2ZL28zd4y353_1_hd[1].jpg

;)
 
But, how would the Germans feel about building cars for an American carmaker? What's their attitude to Opel for example?

They will feel very good, because they have a job what they like to do. Probably many autoworkers will be freely available after ICE factories laying off staff. And "Tesla - Made In Germany", sounds fantastic for Europeans. Probably some guys in US will pay more to get German built Tesla in US, as I said in previous post assembling cars is in Germans blood.
 
That makes no sense. You claim that gasoline is what drives Wawa's profits but everyone is switching to electric. Then you say even if they attract EV drivers, there won't be enough of them! See what you did there?

Did you know for a small fraction of the cost to install legacy gas pumps they can also install Superchargers?

Wawa's not going bankrupt anytime soon.
I would argue this new super-Wawa model is barely profitable in the first place. My thesis isn't that they can't pivot to supercharging and still be a reasonably useful convenience store, it's that the properties they've chosen to expand onto are way way too expensive if you take away the gasoline element.

95% of charging will be done at home, this whole "stopping for gas" thing won't exist. Wawa will be stuck with massive ultra-prime location properties selling Doritos. Plus no one really buys cigarettes anymore. AND their hoagies are 60% of what they used to be. Don't even get me started on how the meatball classic has gone downhill.

Whoever is driving this growth internally looks like a rock-star right now, but it's nowhere near sustainable. Probably not even if EVs weren't about to eliminate their entire business model. Perhaps they'll shrink down dramatically or the properties will have appreciated in value, but I think it's much more likely they eventually drown in debt.
 
Unless they live in apartments that don't have overnight charging capability that is, in which case their market may increase. Not everybody can charge at home, so this just increases the convenience of the store/fueling station.

That wouldn’t increase their market, just make it decrease less. Said people in apartments likely already have gas cars that have to be filled up for all 3 reasons at gas stations. If apartment dwellers don’t have access to charging at home or work, then they have to fill up their cars exactly like they already are. I suppose most Tesla’s have lower range than most gas cars, so they might make such visits a bit more often, but I can’t imagine that’ll be enough to counteract the wholesale loss of all homeowners and others who can charge at home/work as regular customers.
 
Lol - I just summed up the known July and August Model 3 numbers from Europe, plus the September numbers for the realtime countries. So no "final week of rush" in the realtime countries and no entire final month (e.g. the big month) in the others. The total? 17506.

Meanwhile, Q2 was 18339 *for the whole quarter*.

That is to say: if the non-realtime countries delivered *zero* in September, and the realtime countries just suddenly stopped delivering tomorrow... we'd *still* have almost as many European Model 3 deliveries as all of Q2 ;)
 
Lol - I just summed up the known July and August Model 3 numbers from Europe, plus the September numbers for the realtime countries. So no "final week of rush" in the realtime countries and no entire final month (e.g. the big month) in the others. The total? 17506.

Meanwhile, Q2 was 18339 *for the whole quarter*.

That is to say: if the non-realtime countries delivered *zero* in September, and the realtime countries just suddenly stopped delivering tomorrow... we'd *still* have almost as many European Model 3 deliveries as all of Q2 ;)

Cool. And Troy updated his estimates, now over 100k, so 100k is pretty much secured.
 
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Lol - I just summed up the known July and August Model 3 numbers from Europe, plus the September numbers for the realtime countries. So no "final week of rush" in the realtime countries and no entire final month (e.g. the big month) in the others. The total? 17506.

Meanwhile, Q2 was 18339 *for the whole quarter*.

That is to say: if the non-realtime countries delivered *zero* in September, and the realtime countries just suddenly stopped delivering tomorrow... we'd *still* have almost as many European Model 3 deliveries as all of Q2 ;)
BUT still total delivers around 75-77k...right;)