I agree with you but...just as Tilburg came to exist to minimize the negative impact of EU duties so also other CKD and/or more specialized factories will certainly be happening. The UK, for example, could well be primarily about storage, and possibly mostly utility level storage. If for vehicles also, perhaps, but certainly no GF. It seems transparently obvious that an application to be a utility-level energy provider is connected to the factory speculation. The time has come to be somewhat more refined in our thinking about what new factories will do. After all Fremont, GF-1 and GF-2 are not remotely similar, nor is GF-3 seeming to be an analogue for any of the others. As for GF-4 we know surprises will come. We seem to be largely ignoring the probable output of new development facilities in China and Germany. Then we have not much direct insight into the pending new US factory, probably Texas. We all assume that that one will produce Cybertruck, and lately we assume Model Y. The Cybertruck one is certainly true but what else? How about storage? A quick change in Texas regulation and suddenly Texas will become the largest NA storage market. Beyond that how will Tesla meet the CA demand for solar roof plus storage as the CA new housing market recovers? Another new factory will be in the offing. Will one of the new ones be on the US/Mexico border, or the US/Canada one? Just think, please, what continuing growth of ~50% per year or even 25% will mean. There must be at least five or six new factories of one size or product combination or other.
We are being far too limited in our thinking.