there's a pattern of trading which indicates a large player is using options to hold on to a rolling naked short position. looks like maybe millions of shares.
since the sec has tightened up their naked short rules it's harder for funds to put on naked shorts. but this guy has figured out a loophole.
what you want to look at is a good trading history of the june 25 calls, the april 35 calls or the april 37 calls. he's most obvious in the june 25 calls, but does come along now and again in the april calls (as he did today in the april 37s).
so this guy, say he wants to short like 500,000 tesla, but he can't find that many shares to borrow. and even if he could, he doesn't want to pay the 80% carrying charge (see my other post).
so instead what he does is pre-arrange a trade with a market maker where he sells a huge number of deep in the money calls at a discount to intrinsic value. like for example today he sold 2800 of the april 37 calls. when the stock was above 44, he sold a bunch of the 37 calls at $7. this particular guy always does the trades on the psx.
the market maker on the other side is happy to buy them because the market maker hedges by shorting tesla above 44 ahead of the trade, and then immediately exercises the calls to neutralize the market maker's position.
the reason you know this is happening is because the open interest doesn't change. the june 25's this has happened every few days for a couple weeks now. you'll see today 2,200 of the june 25 calls traded. watch tomorrow the open interest won't change. if the calls weren't getting exercised, the open interest would have to increase. it never does on these trades.
so anyway, the market maker exercises the calls. now what happens is the shorter goes into the exercise pool and gets assigned on most or all of the calls. tomorrow his position will show that he's short 500,000 tesla shares.
now he's got 3 days to locate the shares (t+3 settlement). he won't pay carrying charges until settlement. but the trade will never settle because he can't find the shares and again, he doesn't want to pay the carrying charge.
so a couple days later, he has to buy back the shares and repeat the options trade. the shares he naked shorted would probably show up on the fails-to-deliver data, but since he covers them they won't do a buy in.
i'm pretty sure this is illegal, and whoever is facilitating this trade is likely also committing a crime.
i'm highlighting this just to show how desperately the shorts are trying to hang on to their positions. paying 85% carrying charges, finding clever ways to short naked, etc. these are all signs of sheer desperation and i kinda think these guys will get forced out of their positions before this up-move has ended.
--- added
wow just seeing today this guy is doing huge size... oh my god... over 1.5 million shares i didn't even get into the out months (like june 25's). who is this guy i wonder? every trade on the psx...
apr 35 calls qty 2000: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] / 500@9 / 500@9 - times 10:45-10:51a est
apr 36 calls qty 2400: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] / 600@8 / 600@8 - times 10:45-10:50a est
apr 37 calls qty 2800: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] / 700@7 / 700@7 - times 10:46-10:50a est
apr 38 calls qty 6200: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] - times 10:50-10:51a est.
apr 39 calls qty 3000: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] - times 10:51a est
jun 25 calls qty 2200: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] - times 10:54a est
jun 33 calls qty 1200: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] - times 9:57-9:58a est
jun 35 calls qty 3200: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] - times 9:56-9:57a est
total contracts: 23,100 = 2,310,000 shares, representing about 2% of the company. that's a monster position.
we know these aren't rolls or spreads because the open interest is too low. no one has this many contracts to close so they must be new opening positions. important to note as if tomorrow the open interest doesn't change much you'll know all these options were exercised.
apr 35 calls oi 478
apr 36 calls oi 599
apr 37 calls oi 728
apr 38 calls oi 3147
apr 39 calls oi 1538
jun 25 calls oi 543
jun 33 calls oi 574
jun 35 calls oi 1608
since the sec has tightened up their naked short rules it's harder for funds to put on naked shorts. but this guy has figured out a loophole.
what you want to look at is a good trading history of the june 25 calls, the april 35 calls or the april 37 calls. he's most obvious in the june 25 calls, but does come along now and again in the april calls (as he did today in the april 37s).
so this guy, say he wants to short like 500,000 tesla, but he can't find that many shares to borrow. and even if he could, he doesn't want to pay the 80% carrying charge (see my other post).
so instead what he does is pre-arrange a trade with a market maker where he sells a huge number of deep in the money calls at a discount to intrinsic value. like for example today he sold 2800 of the april 37 calls. when the stock was above 44, he sold a bunch of the 37 calls at $7. this particular guy always does the trades on the psx.
the market maker on the other side is happy to buy them because the market maker hedges by shorting tesla above 44 ahead of the trade, and then immediately exercises the calls to neutralize the market maker's position.
the reason you know this is happening is because the open interest doesn't change. the june 25's this has happened every few days for a couple weeks now. you'll see today 2,200 of the june 25 calls traded. watch tomorrow the open interest won't change. if the calls weren't getting exercised, the open interest would have to increase. it never does on these trades.
so anyway, the market maker exercises the calls. now what happens is the shorter goes into the exercise pool and gets assigned on most or all of the calls. tomorrow his position will show that he's short 500,000 tesla shares.
now he's got 3 days to locate the shares (t+3 settlement). he won't pay carrying charges until settlement. but the trade will never settle because he can't find the shares and again, he doesn't want to pay the carrying charge.
so a couple days later, he has to buy back the shares and repeat the options trade. the shares he naked shorted would probably show up on the fails-to-deliver data, but since he covers them they won't do a buy in.
i'm pretty sure this is illegal, and whoever is facilitating this trade is likely also committing a crime.
i'm highlighting this just to show how desperately the shorts are trying to hang on to their positions. paying 85% carrying charges, finding clever ways to short naked, etc. these are all signs of sheer desperation and i kinda think these guys will get forced out of their positions before this up-move has ended.
--- added
wow just seeing today this guy is doing huge size... oh my god... over 1.5 million shares i didn't even get into the out months (like june 25's). who is this guy i wonder? every trade on the psx...
apr 35 calls qty 2000: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] / 500@9 / 500@9 - times 10:45-10:51a est
apr 36 calls qty 2400: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] / 600@8 / 600@8 - times 10:45-10:50a est
apr 37 calls qty 2800: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] / 700@7 / 700@7 - times 10:46-10:50a est
apr 38 calls qty 6200: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] - times 10:50-10:51a est.
apr 39 calls qty 3000: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] - times 10:51a est
jun 25 calls qty 2200: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] - times 10:54a est
jun 33 calls qty 1200: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] - times 9:57-9:58a est
jun 35 calls qty 3200: [email protected] / [email protected] / [email protected] - times 9:56-9:57a est
total contracts: 23,100 = 2,310,000 shares, representing about 2% of the company. that's a monster position.
we know these aren't rolls or spreads because the open interest is too low. no one has this many contracts to close so they must be new opening positions. important to note as if tomorrow the open interest doesn't change much you'll know all these options were exercised.
apr 35 calls oi 478
apr 36 calls oi 599
apr 37 calls oi 728
apr 38 calls oi 3147
apr 39 calls oi 1538
jun 25 calls oi 543
jun 33 calls oi 574
jun 35 calls oi 1608
Last edited: