I don't understand where your question comes from. 200+/day is not a what-if, it's a stated fact in Doug Field's email, written on Friday 3/23, as of that day, the line is running at over 200/day in all parts of the line. I added emphasis on that I think Doug is trying to make sure that people understand that this is a steady state rate, that they're not banking parts to do a burst rate.
Could someone explain that tweet in lay terms. I don't quite understand it.
In hind sight the VIN assignment push in the last few weeks maybe a precursor to the delivery push this week. They may have assigned VINs further in advance while the car is still a few days from finishing production, in order to make sure they can find buyers that can take deliveries before EoQ. And now the EoQ deliveries are all scheduled and proceeding, they may be back to assigning VIN only after the car is out of production. I don't think one should necessarily read VIN assignment as exactly representing the production on a day to day granularity. I think week to week may still be granular in this case of EoQ push.
I'm a little worried about what these agencies may do regarding Autopilot. Even though this unfortunate person should have been obviously paying attention, particularly after already experiencing some swerves toward the median using Autopilot in that same area previously, the fact is that this particular incident emphasizes how dangerous Autopilot can be. This is assuming Autopilot was being used. Will these agencies feel that they need to do something, particularly from the standpoint of the public's perception of them, to avoid further incidents like this? If so, they might tell Tesla to shut it down until it is safer. This is not my personal wish as I use the technology every day and love it. I'm also careful with it. Evidently not everyone is.
What exactly do you think they will ask Tesla to shut down? Auto-steer which is lane keeping assist? TACC which is speed aware cruise control? If this is true then the whole car industry will be impacted.
I wouldn't bet on it at this point, but they may get pretty close. I think many of us believe 5,000/week will more likely happen some time in Q3.
This was also labeled as unrealistic until it became realistic, and it felt like a win
In their current state, both have serious weaknesses that may have contributed to that recent fatal accident. TACC is awesome but it struggles to identify stationary objects in the path of the car, like the concrete barrier that was struck. Auto steer is highly dependent on how well a roadway is marked, and gets confused at times about which way the vehicle is supposed to go even when it is obvious to a human. Autosteer may have placed the car on a collision course for the concrete barrier that TACC ignored or didn't detect since it was stationary.
