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No updates on mine. Still says Dec 13 - Jan 02Good morning, all! Per my model, post #29, my EDD range this morning continues to narrow. Expecting the VIN (per said model) tomorrow or Friday for sure. Any new updates from you all?
Agreed! Looks like we have a nice mix of color combinations here in WA. I also checked out that spreadsheet that was developed for new deliveries and see the same. I don't recall seeing any duplicates (Exterior/Interior)!Mine has been August and blank and September and more blank but now is 9/29-9/30.
I think the big delays have hit all the white interior vehicles with most pushed to next year.
OMG. What is going on?!Got a VIN in the last hour!!! (2pm PDT)
VIN 5YJSA1E61MF439xxxx. First “439” I’ve seen. The problem? My EDD changed from 8/14-8/21 to “January”! WTF is going on?!
Got a VIN in the last hour!!! (2pm PDT)
VIN 5YJSA1E61MF439xxxx. First “439” I’ve seen. The problem? My EDD changed from 8/14-8/21 to “January”! WTF is going on?!
Going back to this, formula #2 results in a delivery day ("Z") of 8/17-8/18; using formula #1, the projected delivery date ("Z") is 8/18. The VIN arrived two days earlier than predicted, so, adjusting the delivery date ("Z") by that amount, I get 8/15-8/16 as the day I pick up the beast (should I decide to move forward with the Plaid). Might just keep the 3.Cross-Post
I did some EDD math for those in my area (Seattle). After scouring many posts about EDD's, I've concluded the following for Seattle/Renton/Bellevue deliveries...
On the day ("X") you get the 13-14 day EDD range, that seems to equal the "birth date" of your car (which you can confirm after delivery). About 7-8 days later ("Y"), you will see a VIN (your EDD range will be about 7 days at this point). Delivery date("Z") is about 5-6 days later (Transportation and DC prep). Going the other way, the later date ("Z'") on the range provided on day "X" is about 3-4 days later than when you will actually take delivery on day "Z".
So, it's X+12=Z, or
Z'-3(or 4)=Z
For those in the Seattle area, post your experiences!
Cross-Post
I did some EDD math for those in my area (Seattle). After scouring many posts about EDD's, I've concluded the following for Seattle/Renton/Bellevue deliveries...
On the day ("X") you get the 13-14 day EDD range, that seems to equal the "birth date" of your car (which you can confirm after delivery). About 7-8 days later ("Y"), you will see a VIN (your EDD range will be about 7 days at this point). Delivery date("Z") is about 5-6 days later (Transportation and DC prep). Going the other way, the later date ("Z'") on the range provided on day "X" is about 3-4 days later than when you will actually take delivery on day "Z".
So, it's X+12=Z, or
Z'-3(or 4)=Z
For those in the Seattle area, post your experiences!
@Aparajith Agreed. The big reset by Tesla yesterday generated ranges for cars all the way out to January. Prior to that big update, the ranges came when you were in the delivery month. So, for the formulae I created, they should only be used in those instances.If I understand your math, I think my experience is slightly different or I am just a dumbo in maths
On August 9th I got my EDD range of Sept 17th to 30th, (so August 9th will be the birth date of my car??) I should be getting my VIN on or around August 15th-16th So delivery date should be by End of August. If this is what everyone else is experiencing I am guessing my EDD is not true and I am going to get pushed back as well.
Damn I hope this is not True!
Thanks that makes sense to me now!@Aparajith Agreed. The be reset by Tesla yesterday generated ranges for cars all the way out to January. Prior to that big update, the ranges came when you were in the delivery month. So, for formula I created, it should only be applied in those instances.
Ah, got an EDD update this morning! Back to a super narrow August range (Today, 8/12-8/17), as the Model predicts!Going back to this, formula #2 results in a delivery day ("Z") of 8/17-8/18; using formula #1, the projected delivery date ("Z") is 8/18. The VIN arrived two days earlier than predicted, so, adjusting the delivery date ("Z") by that amount, I get 8/15-8/16 as the day I pick up the beast (should I decide to move forward with the Plaid). Might just keep the 3.
Awesome!! Still February for meAh, got an EDD update this morning! Back to a super narrow August range (Today, 8/12-8/17), as the Model predicts!
@fordhamg The white is what's killing you. A change to cream/walnut would likely result in a delivery in less than a month.Awesome!! Still February for me
I came to the same conclusion. I thought about changing it, but really the white is what I want. 6 months from now I will regret going early for not my first choice. So I'm going to wait it out@fordhamg The white is what's killing you. A change to cream/walnut would likely result in a delivery in less than a month.
Good move! I have white in the 3 and have loved it! BTW, my EDD narrowed twice this morning. Soggy for details.I came to the same conclusion. I thought about changing it, but really the white is what I want. 6 months from now I will regret going early for not my first choice. So I'm going to wait it out
I'm waiting on the white too....ugh. Maybe I should have done this hack insteadI came to the same conclusion. I thought about changing it, but really the white is what I want. 6 months from now I will regret going early for not my first choice. So I'm going to wait it out