My take (opinion) 0n the next 10-14 days of SP. We will get some rise next week on buy the rumor. IF the handover party presents a surprise; Example, EM does a 'Steve Jobs' after delivering the first 30 cars and delivers 100 more/says ramp is ahead of schedule, then we get a bounce Up and it overcomes what will probably be a Luke warm Q2ER. If no surprise and a lukewarm ER I expect an SP dip. This dip may literally be short lived between the ER and the CC. The CC could be explosive for the SP UP.
One thing Musk does for sure, is he never does 'Steve Jobs'. If anything he will deliver like 22 cars and give some reason for where the other 8 are stuck. I mean really, for these many years we have been following Musk and Tesla, tell me one instance when Musk exceeded expectations.
Don't get me wrong the company and Musk have show some phenomenal growth and progress. I applaud it fully with my entire portfolio. But as far as I can remember Musk has always set near term expectations higher than what was immediately accomplished. Literally today we got the "silky smooth" which was promised to be delivered, I can't even remember, like a month ago.
Although I'm curious to hear why you think the CC could be explosive for the SP UP.