2017 Investor Roundtable: TSLA Market Action

[AudubonB]

As I wrote elsewhere, for 2017 we are going to be splitting off STRICTLY & EXCLUSIVELY market-themed discussion to one thread - this one. All general discussions regarding Tesla that presumably are of interest to the investment community are to be confined to the 2017 Investor Roundtable: General Discussion thread.

These two threads will open for posts whenever I get up on 1 January. Or maybe just after we ring in the New Year. Until then, please continue to post on the 2016 Short-Term thread.

 

[AudubonB]

This post reserved for future elaboration.

 

[doctoxics]

Of course, Tuesdays price action will be driven by the delivery numbers. Buckle up your seat belts.

 

[erthquake]

Of course, Tuesdays price action will be driven by the delivery numbers. Buckle up your seat belts.

Will they be announced before or after market close?

 

[1kEE]

As I wrote elsewhere, for 2017 we are going to be splitting off STRICTLY & EXCLUSIVELY market-themed discussion to one thread - this one.

Would PapaFox's very nice Daily Trading thread be merged with this one?

 

[erthquake]

Of course, Tuesdays price action will be driven by the delivery numbers. Buckle up your seat belts.

And then we've got the Gigafactory event the following day. Buckle up, indeed!

 

[MP3Mike]

Will they be announced before or after market close?

I don't know but hopefully after open, I have a dry powder delivery scheduled that hasn't arrived yet.

 

[JRP3]

It is good to see that AP 2.0 is being pushed out but according to Fred L. it may not even be up to AP 1.0 capabilities. That will come in 'early 2017'. I do hope this is 'very early 2017'. the SP will be negatively impacted if this is similar in roll out to the X roll out where a deadline (Q3 2015) was met with a few deliveries to be followed by a long lag before we saw any volume.

Tesla starts pushing new Autopilot 2.0 update: Autosteer at ‘low speed’, Traffic Aware Cruise Control and Forward Collision Warning

For clarification from the Mod, my understanding is that the above post should be in the other thread, correct? Which is where it and a number of other posts now are.
Boyz 'n grilz....it's not that hard! I know you can do it. I'm not planning on being a martinet about this, but - for example - a thread about market action should NOT be very busy in the middle of a three-day market holiday.

 

[MitchJi]

It is good to see that AP 2.0 is being pushed out but according to Fred L. it may not even be up to AP 1.0 capabilities. That will come in 'early 2017'. I do hope this is 'very early 2017'. the SP will be negatively impacted if this is similar in roll out to the X roll out where a deadline (Q3 2015) was met with a few deliveries to be followed by a long lag before we saw any volume.

Tesla starts pushing new Autopilot 2.0 update: Autosteer at ‘low speed’, Traffic Aware Cruise Control and Forward Collision Warning

I don't believe that this will have a significant impact on the SP. If (imo when ) Tesla meets guidance and reports good financial numbers on their ER I believe that the SP will continue it's recent rise.

 

[MitchJi]

I don't know but hopefully after open, I have a dry powder delivery scheduled that hasn't arrived yet.

Maybe you can buy during the premarket?

 

[BornToFly]

Not buying short term options at this point. Too many unknowns, including January market macros, delivery numbers, actual status of the factories, and most importantly - how the market will react to the news, which can be hard to predict. I did SELL a put Friday, because if the stock goes down, I don't mind buying more, and I made money either way.

 

[1kEE]

Maybe you can buy during the premarket?

Be careful buying during premarket when there is positive news. Due to low volume, the price can get over-inflated only to go down after the opening bell. Not always the case, but it has happened to me a number of times.

Edit: Same applies to selling on bad news. Premarket can amplify the movement either way and makes trading trickier.

 

[A4KTT]

Be careful buying during premarket when there is positive news. Due to low volume, the price can get over-inflated only go down after the opening bell. Not always the case, but it has happened to me a number of times.

I second this. Gotten bit before.

 

[Papafox]

Would PapaFox's very nice Daily Trading thread be merged with this one?

Let me ask for feedback to this idea on the Daily Trading Charts thread.

 

[1kEE]

Let me ask for feedback to this idea on the Daily Trading Charts thread.

I think it would be a good idea, if we all actually stuck to AbubonB's plans for these threads.... that is keep this thread generally free of clutter and stick to SP related matters like your daily analysis (which is highly appreciated by me and I'm sure a lot of ther people) and take the random chatter and bickering elsewhere hahah.

 

[MitchJi]

Let me ask for feedback to this idea on the Daily Trading Charts thread.

Very bad idea! It's very easy focused and easy to find now. Why mix it into a bunch of other stuff.

 

[Papafox]

Very bad idea! It's very easy focused and easy to find now. Why mix it into a bunch of other stuff.

Responders on the daily trading charts thread agree with you, Mitch, we'll keep the charts in their own thread.

1kEE, thanks for the idea, though!

 

[1kEE]

After reading everyone's response, I agree. Keeping that thread separate, clean and focused is the way to go.

 

[austinEV]

Mods:
I recommend a third thread, for discussions ABOUT threads, so half of what has been written this year. That way there is a single place to bitch about the division and we don't have to read it. Or, have a thoughtful discussion about how it should be organized going forward. Either way it will be easy to isolate those posts and banish them.

 

[neroden]

Meta: I believe this thread should be very quiet while the market is closed and active when people are actually watching stock price movements. The other thread will probably be far more active when the market is closed.

Sounds like a good split to me.