Honestly, given their track record with achieving the 3's production targets thus far, I will be impressed if they can hit 80k for the year.
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2018 Tesla Model 3 Production: 80,000 or 264,000?
- Thread starter Patrick0101
- Start date
Garlan Garner
Banned
Seems like a big part of the problem is that they seem to be bleeding meaningful talent and maybe don't know what they're doing as far as production scaling goes. To distract us from this, Elon has chosen to hype semis, the next roadster, and now flame throwers.
I have a drop dead delivery date of mid May 2018 (baby is due around then and we can't cram 2 kids into our ILX) My day-1 Seattle line-waiter, non-owner current estimate is "Early 2018" for standard battery. So if I don't have the car by May 15-20th, we'll cancel and go with my wife's preference of an ICE SUV.
Garlan Garner
Banned
I understand and I feel soooo bad for your situation. I truly hope your configuration comes before then. What a wonderful thing that would be - a new baby and a new baby. lol
bnsfengineer
Active Member
True this! The pretense that these have been "production" cars is a joke. Not sure I want to drive around on top of a battery put together with all the precision a temp worker can achieve
I think 80k would be a big success- from a big fan they do not seem to be able to get any momentum. They need to ramp - big competition coming from real players in 19 and 20. These delays made me decide against the roadster- eventually people will go elsewhere
In an attempt to grab an ICE SUV now, my wife just propsed ditching the 3 reservation and leasing the SUV instead of buying with a promise that it’ll be our last ICE and we’ll go EV in 2021. I’m starting to suspect she’s either a Tesla short or on Audi’s or Acura’s payroll. Elon’s production numbers are making me paranoid
In my world, Jan-Mar and early 2018 are the same.
When I'm invited to configure in April/May my SR date will change to late 2018. I have no doubt owners will get their SR before me. As they should.
Garlan Garner
Banned
My Estimator on the Tesla website shows Dec-Feb as my configure timeframe.
Anyone else have those dates? 26 days left.
Do you think it will happen?
Anyone else have those dates? 26 days left.
Do you think it will happen?
bnsfengineer
Active Member
Garlan Garner
Banned
bnsfengineer
Active Member
Garlan Garner
Banned
As it stands right now....the reserve dates are out of the window.
I could buy a model S today and make a reservation for a model 3 and get an invite to configure next week.
bnsfengineer
Active Member
Garlan Garner
Banned
I know. I thought the same thing a while ago, however its correct.
People here have done it.
I'm not convinced it's a good idea to be relying on a third party's estimated numbers for what is obviously a pretty volatile production ramp.
bnsfengineer
Active Member
Well that doesn't seem right!! There should had been a cut off date involved.
That link and article is extremely misleading! The headline of the article says "1185 delivered", but if you read the body of the article it shows "1875 delivered" - and that is InsideEVs true estimate.
We can all guess at whether or not the typo in the headline was intentional. I don't know enough about teslaweekly.com to make a judgment on it.
