I bought mine on the last day of Q1 and it had $7100 worth of Tesla discounts plus of course the Federal Rebate of $7500. It was manufactured in Austin in March of 2024. In terms of future discounts, I have seen prices fluctuate both ways with Tesla. Ends of quarters are a favorite time for Tesla in an effort to "make their numbers". Any such presumption would depend on sales, and inventory in stock, at that point in time. Waiting for a discount means you are betting that inventory will outpace demand. YMMV.