Not that I'm a fan (at all) of the new Federal government, but it seems a left wing party might be more inclined to invoke some sort of federal incentive. At least matching what the US is doing.
They are more social justice warrior than truly centre-left. Only $12 billion of the recently announced $113 billion in deficits over 5 years is on infrastructure for example. Despite the fact that they had campaigned on running small deficits to build infrastructure as stimulus. The CBC received 200 times more funding than VIA Rail. I really doubt they'll announce a national subsidy program. That's more to the right than they'd like. And if they do, it'll likely be gimped. And worse....provinces might cut their programs if a federal one happens.
I agree that Feds will likely announce a national incentive. Which makes Ontario's EVIP "enhancements" even more concerning. We need to ensure that similar anti-Tesla policy is NOT replicated nationally.
If this government announces a subsidy program, they most definitely will cap rebates with thresholds. Every other subsidy or rebate or tax cut announced in the last budget was directed at lower income earners. Why would that trend change for an EV rebate program?
We probably aren't all that bad when it comes to electrification. Don't forget that Toronto has an extensive streetcar system that uses electricity.
There's more to Canada than Toronto.
I realize that but the population of Sask is about 1.1 million, the population of greater Toronto is over 6 million. And each day an average of 291,000 people ride the electric streetcars in Toronto.
Doubling transit usage in Toronto, for example, would do more to reduce emissions in a shorter period of time, than you could ever pull off in Saskatchewan. This may not be popular to say on a Tesla forum, but public transit is a lot more important than electrification of cars. GO Transit Electrified RER program will do more to cut emissions in the next 10-15 years than anything the federal government could do with EV rebates.
The biggest thing governments could do might not be rebates but legislative change. Imagine changing building codes to mandate 200A service to every new home, with 240 V outlets in the garage or strict rules requiring all new condos to have charging bays or charger outlets every two spots. Imagine, what a $100 million investment in charging stations would do. A substantial chunk to Tesla would see the Trans-Canada and every other major corridor covered in a few years.
The rebates are nice. But at Model 3 money, nobody needs a rebate to necessarily sway them. If the infastructure is there, they'll pick the Model 3 over a BMW 3, Lexus IS, Mercedes C or Audi A4, any time.