Do any of us really think the UN can do anything fundamental? If we cannot get agreement from China, US, Russia,Japan, South Korea, Brazil, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Canada and the EU how will real change be effected.
Of course, Venezuela, Peru, Guiana and Bolivia all have to cooperate to protect the Amazon. Then there all the rest of the nations helping destroy the Mekong...and the list goes on.
As I see it the only thing that might actually make change really happen would be for the recently expanded BRICs to take the lead. Were that to happen the UN opposition to major change would largely evaporate. Even self-interested opponents to BRIC interests might be shamed into rapid action. Without a doubt that is unlikely.
However, China may be changing without huge fanfare. Their list of climate disasters is very long, including the Himalayan warming, major river drying followed by huge flooding (e.g. Yangtze/Poyang Lake). They've managed around so many such problems that even the geriatrics are being pressured. Those are definitely not enough but.. From National Grid to BYD, SAIC, CATL, and even Geely but maybe more so:
Ever wondered who makes all those wonderful solar panels? We're here to tell you all about the top 7 largest solar panel manufacturers in the world
www.theecoexperts.co.uk
and...
We aim to use technology to address global environmental issues and create a greener future where humanity and nature live in harmony.
www.huawei.com
and then:
en.wikipedia.org
I quote Wikipedia on Tesla Shanghai simply because China, more than any other country, has helped Tesla with it's growth ambitions, not least because all those companies above end out with quite compatible efforts.
In this thread we are not focusing on companies but on the planet Earth and its climate itself. It seems to em that if there si real hope i 2024 and beyond it really must come from enlightened commercial interests, so ends out with initiatives from BRICS'
It is the BRICS that have Himalayas and Andes, the Amazon and Yangtze, the largest expanse of Northern tundra and permafrost, not to mention coal use, fossil fuel production and much more.
So, is not our best hope for China taking the lead?
Perhaps I'm too jaundiced and modest hopeful because almost no NA or EU investment happens in these arenas where i live. National Grid is rehabilitating part fo Brazil grids, BYD makes solar panels, batteries, EV busses and now EV cars in Brazil, while Chery, JAC and Huawei among many others are spreading the adoption of renewables in countries not approached by any US or EU competitors. Even the Norwegians are pursuing fossil fuel, NOT renewables.
All this makes me wonder if we're perhaps thinking too much from a traditional first world perspective, and maybe, just maybe, global hope lies with others.
This is January 1 speculation, of course. OTOH I am now getting bids for my new off-grid house in Rio de Janeiro. All but one prospective suppliers for solar panels, inverters, batteries etc are Chinese origin. The exception is Fronius, an Austrian company.
Is any other country doing more to advance the cause. of course they also have passed the US as the #1 polluter. That, though, is now crystal clear to even the ancients in China.
FWIW, I hope the implied future I describe does not happen this way. It implies more than a little Orwellian potential.