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Climate Change / Global Warming Discussion

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A shift towards a more sustainable global food system could create up to $10tn (£7.9tn) of benefits a year, improve human health and ease the climate crisis, according to the most comprehensive economic study of its type. It found that existing food systems destroyed more value than they created due to hidden environmental and medical costs, in effect, borrowing from the future to take profits today. Food systems drive a third of global greenhouse gas emissions, putting the world on course for 2.7C of warming by the end of the century. This creates a vicious cycle, as higher temperatures bring more extreme weather and greater damage to harvests.

The study proposes a shift of subsidies and tax incentives away from destructive large-scale monocultures that rely on fertilisers, pesticides and forest clearance. Instead, financial incentives should be directed towards smallholders who could turn farms into carbon sinks with more space for wildlife.

In early research, Rockström and his colleagues found food was the largest sector of the economy breaching planetary boundaries. As well at the climate impact, it is a major driver of land-use change and biodiversity decline, and is responsible for 70% of freshwater drawdown.
 

An area more than twice the size of California will be regenerated to its former natural beauty as part of a pipeline of projects that have received private funding to become living carbon capture sites. On Tuesday, Cultivo, a public benefit corporation, announced it had raised $14 million in first-round investment to rejuvenate 100 million hectares of land. The series of projects the investment will fund are anticipated to remove three gigatons of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere—over half of America's emissions in 2021.

Rewilding projects mean there is less carbon in the atmosphere, but they are also becoming an increasingly appealing investment because of the return they are expected to make due to the high demand for carbon credits.


Piñuela said of the investment from Octopus Energy that "a lot of that capital is targeted toward the U.S." and that the company had "an expanding portfolio of grasslands as well as forests to be reforested" in America.
 

“They contain smoking gun proof that by at least 1954, the fossil fuel industry was on notice about the potential for its products to disrupt Earth’s climate on a scale significant to human civilization,” said Geoffrey Supran, an expert in historic climate disinformation at the University of Miami.

“These findings are a startling confirmation that big oil has had its finger on the pulse of academic climate science for 70 years – for twice my lifetime – and a reminder that it continues to do so to this day. They make a mockery of the oil industry’s denial of basic climate science decades later.”
 
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In this video 6 tipping points are listed which, if they will be overtaken, could worsen the Climate Change issue in an irreversible way.
I advice all TMC Members to watch the video.
I am listing the 6 tipping points mentioned in the quoted video.

1) Antctartic melting.
Because the ice at the Antctartic is melting the ALBEDO of the Antctartic is lowering, as I explained in my previous posts, and more Energy coming from the Sun is absorbed causing a negative feedback loop which shrinks more and more the ice of the Antctartic.
According to 10 recent studies the tipping point of this negative feedback loop which could melt the Anctartic in an irreversible way is at 1,5 degrees Celsius of Temperature Deviation which is VERY CLOSE to our current situation.

2) AMOC collapse
Since the Antctartic is melting fresh water goes in the Oceans and the salt concentration of the Oceans decreases.
This is a process which could make the AMOC (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse. In last 50 years the AMOC already decreased 15%. But also a partial collapse of the AMOC could make the water of the Oceans increase 20 to 30 centimeters and cause a Mini Ice Age in Europe.

3) Monsoons worsening


As it is shown in this article Several reports and researches have already established the impact of climate change on Indian monsoon patterns.
The IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) Report, ‘Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate’ had already warned that summer and monsoon precipitation will also increase and become more frequent, with the Indian subcontinent witnessing a 20 per cent surge in extreme rainfall events.
This will cause serious damages to the Food Chain Supply.

4) Damages to the Amazon rainforest
The Climate Change issue could also affect negatively the Amazon rainforest as is described in the following article.


As habitat destruction trends interact with climate change, the concern is that the Amazon will be caught up in a set of “feedback loops” that could dramatically speed up the pace of forest lost and degradation and bring the Amazon rainforest to a point of no return. This threshold, also referred to as a tipping point, may occur when Amazonian forests die and are progressively replaced by fireprone brush and savanna (ecological tipping point), and rainfall is inhibited on a regional scale.

5) Permafrost melting
The amount of carbon which is stored in permafrost as Methane and Carbon Dioxide is HUGE and if permafrost thawed it could add something like 0.3 degrees Celsius to Current Global Warming.

6) Coral reef bleaching
Because of the Ocean Acidification issue not only an acid is produced, increasing this way the acidity of Oceans, but also Calcium Carbonate decreases.
Corals are marine organisms that create their own skeletons and shells from calcium carbonate. When carbon dioxide increases in the ocean water, calcium carbonate decreases, which has resulted in corals and similar organisms having difficulties creating their skeletons. While most of the negative effects of ocean acidification affect shelled organisms, all marine life is negatively affected by this process. All species require time to adjust to new pH levels in the water. However, carbon dioxide is reaching ocean water at a very fast rate, which doesn’t provide marine life with enough time to adapt to the changes in the water.

As for humans, ocean acidification affects the food that we eat by damaging the ability for shelled organisms to create their shells in the first place. The damage that acidification does to coral reefs is also problematic because of the role that these reefs play in medicine, tourism, food, and coastal protection. At the moment, ocean acidification is an emerging problem around the globe that will continue to have negative impacts on the ocean unless substantial measures are taken.
 
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Coral Reef Watch, hosted by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), previously issued warnings for coral reefs in four stages, with the highest, alert level 2, suggesting that “severe bleaching and significant mortality [is] likely”. Now the program has added three further alert levels to a program used by scientists, conservationists, marine park managers and citizen scientists around the world to understand the conditions being faced by coral reefs in their areas. Underlying the warning system is a measure of the amount of accumulated heat stress that corals are facing at any given time, known as Degree Heating Weeks (DHW).
 

Some of the world’s biggest automakers are still “grossly under-reporting” greenhouse gas emissions, according to a new report, despite improvements in their estimates.

The research, undertaken by consultancy firms Carbon Tracker and Nomisma, was released on Wednesday and found car manufacturers ranked among the world’s highest carbon producers and needed to improve the way they declared their environmental impacts.

That’s why EVs are really needed to work out the Climate Change issue IMO.
 
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Here we have a graph showing how the Energy Imbalance produced by the GHE affects the Energy absorbed by the Earth.
The blue area represents the Energy absorbed the Oceans while the orange area represents the Energy absorbed by the land.
The increase of Energy absorbed by the Earth and in particular by the Oceans in recent years is worrisome. So please don't look up the graph.
 
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In this video ESA warns us that World's Ice is melting faster than ever with consequences to sea level rise.
Also the salinity of the Oceans is decreasing and the AMOC (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) is at risk of collapse. To this concern I wish to remind that a partial collapse of the AMOC would cause a Mini Ice Age in Europe.
I invite all TMC Members to watch the reported video by ESA.
 
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I was challenged to assess the likely capacity of soil carbon sequestration approaches (sometimes referred to as biological carbon capture and sequestration or BCCS) by a researcher in the space. The premise was that two thirds of the carbon which had been sequestered in the soil had been lost into the atmosphere as grasslands were converted to large-scale agriculture, and that changing agricultural practices would be sufficient to act as a sink for the majority of excess CO2 emitted.

Carbon has been lost from native soils as they became agriculturally productive. The concept of BCCS is shift to agricultural approaches which support glomalin from approaches which reduce it, increasing the carbon uptake of soil. The various sources provided supported this theory (any sources not linked in the body of this article are provided below as additional reading).
 
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I was challenged to assess the likely capacity of soil carbon sequestration approaches (sometimes referred to as biological carbon capture and sequestration or BCCS) by a researcher in the space. The premise was that two thirds of the carbon which had been sequestered in the soil had been lost into the atmosphere as grasslands were converted to large-scale agriculture, and that changing agricultural practices would be sufficient to act as a sink for the majority of excess CO2 emitted.

Carbon has been lost from native soils as they became agriculturally productive. The concept of BCCS is shift to agricultural approaches which support glomalin from approaches which reduce it, increasing the carbon uptake of soil. The various sources provided supported this theory (any sources not linked in the body of this article are provided below as additional reading).
Then best thing would be to use both BCCS technique and BIOCHAR to sequester Carbon Dioxide CO2, Methane CH4 and Nitrous Oxide N2O which are all GHGs.
 
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The biggest solar-plus-storage project in the US just came online
The new California installation has nearly 2 million solar panels, more than 120,000 batteries, and an enormous amount of clean energy capacity.

This is the way to go. Let’s get rid of fossil fuels!
GO BIG CALIFORNIA!
 

“This is the new extinction and we are half way through it. We are in terrible, terrible trouble and the longer we wait to do something about it the worse it is going to get.”

David Attenborough
 
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