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Depreciation on LR RWD

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As a person that drives 45k++ a year (drove 16k in 4 months) (even more now since new job!). I feel like my LR rwd EAP will be near worthless in 2022 (red sticker expires) it's when I plan to buy a new model 3 (awd/p3) just for HOV sticker.
Come over here and sell it in AZ — or any other state but CA — where the ineligibility for a red sticker won’t matter and then buy a lightly used, red sticker virgin AZ Tesla.
 
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Remember that at the 27,500 price point, the Model 3 demand is infinite. It won't matter new or used as long as the hardware is relatively current.

There are certain price floors built in to support value.

Two years from now when all credits have ended - if I am making a comparison:

35K for

1.) New Model 3 SR, stripped down interior, exterior and minimal range.
2.) Used Model 3 LR with premium interior, premium exterior packages and maximum range.

If i'm not an idiot, the choice is obvious.

Edit: I made my post without even checking current values. I just now did and ~45K (on lower end) for cars is pretty high resale value to me.

Think it's gonna quarter or halve from 45K? Not easily. If we applied technical + psychological analysis, 35K has strong support.

Model 3 | eBay

Care to revisit those projections?

:confused:
 
When do you think we will see the first 35K LR used?

35K Model 3 with 3750 tax credit is sweet but that is not lasting.

We are crashing to the floor sooner than I expected but I believe there is a pricing floor.

When do you think we will see a 40K AWD or 45K P show up?

There are some markets where only AWD really sells at the higher price point.

I’m actually surprised they had not already introduced a dual motor MR.