Simple facts.
1) No one knows. There isn't an example of a machine auto-pilot for a car. Experts may make claims, but no one will know until they do it. There aren't any experts capable of contradicting Tesla with any authority.
2) We DO have an example where driving is accomplished with (mostly) vision and no radar. Humans. Although not at the level of safety envisioned for AI. Humans have been saying that computers 'will never', for years, and have always been wrong. It is only when they 'yeah that should be easy' that they are wrong. So we have Go playing AI that beat everybody, but voice recognition is still crappy. Vision is one of those 'should be easy' problems.
3) There are no conceptual issues with doing driving with just vision. I don't think you will find an expert who claims that vision is not sufficient, just that it is easier with LIDAR etc. The basics of the problem are not hugely complicated, just identify all objects in the vicinity and compute their velocity vectors (plus some cleverness in anticipating changes in those vectors e.g. brake lights). Any problems come in exactly those circumstances where humans would also fail: snow, fog, dark and rainy, etc.
4) What we have seen so far, is very encouraging. AI can drive at least as well as a kid with a learner's permit in decent conditions. While admittedly humans are the best learning machines on the planet, AI get FAR more practice. Every day, all Tesla AI get more practice than any human gets in its entire lifetime. There is a saying in Go playing circles that Shodan (a high skill level) is 1,000 games. The Go AI played Millions of games.
Thank you kindly.
p.s. Yes, I meet the qualifications requested.
1) No one knows. There isn't an example of a machine auto-pilot for a car. Experts may make claims, but no one will know until they do it. There aren't any experts capable of contradicting Tesla with any authority.
2) We DO have an example where driving is accomplished with (mostly) vision and no radar. Humans. Although not at the level of safety envisioned for AI. Humans have been saying that computers 'will never', for years, and have always been wrong. It is only when they 'yeah that should be easy' that they are wrong. So we have Go playing AI that beat everybody, but voice recognition is still crappy. Vision is one of those 'should be easy' problems.
3) There are no conceptual issues with doing driving with just vision. I don't think you will find an expert who claims that vision is not sufficient, just that it is easier with LIDAR etc. The basics of the problem are not hugely complicated, just identify all objects in the vicinity and compute their velocity vectors (plus some cleverness in anticipating changes in those vectors e.g. brake lights). Any problems come in exactly those circumstances where humans would also fail: snow, fog, dark and rainy, etc.
4) What we have seen so far, is very encouraging. AI can drive at least as well as a kid with a learner's permit in decent conditions. While admittedly humans are the best learning machines on the planet, AI get FAR more practice. Every day, all Tesla AI get more practice than any human gets in its entire lifetime. There is a saying in Go playing circles that Shodan (a high skill level) is 1,000 games. The Go AI played Millions of games.
Thank you kindly.
p.s. Yes, I meet the qualifications requested.