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Green New Deal

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From 1941 to 1945 the US spent ~40% of GDP on killing Germans and Japanese. Today that would be $7.6T/yr... so yes... it is more than possible in 16 years. Basically we just need to be ~1/10th as serious about preserving our future quality of life as we were about defeating fascism....

The difference is everyone was in the same boat. If we spend and additional 40% of our GDP today versus others who don't do it our products become uneconomic compared to everyone else. In addition even if we go to zero and China, India, etc don't cut their emmisions it's just not going to lower the total worldwide CO2 much. I know you think we should set the example and everyone else will then follow us. Good luck in that.
 
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The average cost of ICE cars is actually about $35,000. I used this even though as of now EVs are actually more expensive for a like model ICE. The difference is that the average age of cars and trucks is over 11 years. So if you just purchased a vehicle you would expect to have it for 11 plus years. The only way to replace all ICE vehicles by 2035 would be to to outlaw the sale of any ICE vehicle starting in the next year or so. This just isn't going to happen. As of now there is just not enough capacity to build EVs. This is going to expand greatly but will take a number of years before there are enough to replace all ICE vehicles.
a car is a car - It is the batteries that are the limiting function for EVs - not the actual car.
If the US doesn't build EVs, it seems China will. China ~ = US + EU sales [US is now 3rd largest market China, EU, USA
Similar to solar panels - US had the lead and seems they now have lost it to China
Tesla somewhat of a wild card. based on revenues [and certailnly on price/vehicle] Tesla may be a leader world wide.

China making Electric Buses might also lead in Revenues as the Bus market and the car market tend to be separated.
different factories and different buyers (for example car dealers don't often sell City Buses)

note: I said for Ford & GM - not for all US sales
source: Dr.Data on AutoLine After Hours - sorry not sure which show (about future of auto industry and the rising costs of vehicles while mid-class wages have stalled since late 70s. and min. wages not kept up with inflation.)

thanks for your perspective.
PS - hope you found time to listen to Wilkerson - very interesting, no??
 
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The difference is everyone was in the same boat. If we spend and additional 40% of our GDP today versus others who don't do it our products become uneconomic compared to everyone else. In addition even if we go to zero and China, India, etc don't cut their emmisions it's just not going to lower the total worldwide CO2 much. I know you think we should set the example and everyone else will then follow us. Good luck in that.
That's why you have a carbon fee with dividends (H.R. 763). This is different than a carbon tax because the money is distributed to the residents based on the number of people in the household (means it's government revenue neutral). Other countries also pay the fee when importing goods based on that country's industry's carbon output. If they clean up, the fee is reduced or negated. Assuming that country wants to sell products at a competitive price, they clean up their act.
 
The difference is everyone was in the same boat. If we spend and additional 40% of our GDP today versus others who don't do it our products become uneconomic compared to everyone else. In addition even if we go to zero and China, India, etc don't cut their emmisions it's just not going to lower the total worldwide CO2 much. I know you think we should set the example and everyone else will then follow us. Good luck in that.
Good luck with not doing it and trying to remain competitive. What you consistently fail to understand is that doing things the old way is a dead end. We've already proven that renewables are more cost effective in the long run, what else do you need? I guess you think evs can't work either?
 
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I have an EV and solar panels and they work well with the subsidies i received. I agree we need to move towards other sources of energy and if wind and solar are less expensive than fossil fuels we will naturally move to them. The problem is that as you get to the point you need storage and overbuilding to provide reliable energy the cost is well above what fossil fuels cost. Germany has started to run into that problem with their renewable program. As far as I'm concerned the best sources of clean electric energy should have been nuclear and hydro but environmentalist are against both.
 
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As far as I'm concerned the best sources of clean electric energy should have been nuclear and hydro but environmentalist are against both.

??? Nuclear encounters the same problem of relying on fossil fuels. If Demand is 30-50GW you can't economically operate >30GW of nuclear.... and even then it's iffy. Economics killed nuclear. Geology makes hydro no more than a niche in most areas.
 
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The problem is that as you get to the point you need storage and overbuilding to provide reliable energy the cost is well above what fossil fuels cost. Germany has started to run into that problem with their renewable program.
This is years old misinformation. Wind and solar are cheap, that doesn't change with capacity. Germany had to slow down because cheap solar regularly turned their wholesale energy prices negative and literally every major utility went bankrupt. They needed a pause in their absurd adoption rate to allow for storage to catch up.

Batteries are(were) expensive, not solar or wind. The FIT rate was pegged at like 8.9 EUR cents per kwh, that's insanely low for cloudy Germany. Now they've moved to auctions for solar which is far far cheaper. I thought these costs arguments ended in 2014?
 
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As far as I'm concerned the best sources of clean electric energy should have been nuclear and hydro but environmentalist are against both.
Nuclear is the most expensive way to generate electricity. How is that the environmentalists' fault? What happened to the free market fairy you people believe in? The free market has spoken, and it says that nuclear is too damned expensive to build.
 
Batteries are(were) expensive, not solar or wind. The FIT rate was pegged at like 8.9 EUR cents per kwh, that's insanely low for cloudy Germany. Now they've moved to auctions for solar which is far far cheaper. I thought these costs arguments ended in 2014?
Given that many conservatives appear to be looking forward to 1890, I expect to hear these cost arguments for some time.
 
Rural America is ready for some sort of a New Deal, preferably green | Art Cullen

Here in farming country we have the opportunity to rethink our approach to renewable energy and food production

For example.
The Great Plains from Iowa down through Kansas and Texas lead the world in wind energy production. Yet the wind energy production tax credit is set to wane and expire over the next five years. Those wind turbine royalties are increasingly important in western Kansas where you can barely raise a corn crop even with irrigation because of soil degradation and warmer nights wrought by climate change. Wind energy technicians who keep the blades whirring are paid good union wages and are welcome residents in tiny Iowa villages. They could ply their trade in West Virginia as well.

Yet they are fought at every turn. Astroturf groups spring up to clamor against new wind farm developments, citing phony “science” of human and fowl health threats, and funded by unknown interests. They have been able to slow or block development of new production and transmission capacity while new oil pipelines are laid near sacred Native ground and under the Missouri river without a problem. Utility companies, while capitalizing on wind revenue, continue to try to squeeze out small farms and businesses from metering their production back into the energy grid. They have been fighting that battle since the late 1980s, when Iowa wrote the first state renewable energy portfolio. And our grid isn’t getting that much smarter, so it can ship wind power when it’s needed where it’s needed, but remains vulnerable to natural and computer-assisted disaster.
 
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Here's the problem:

Ending climate change requires the end of capitalism. Have we got the stomach for it? | Phil McDuff

...the existing political establishment looks more and more like an impediment to change. The consequences of global warming have moved from the merely theoretical and predicted to observable reality over the past few years, but this has not been matched by an uptick in urgency. The need to keep the wheels of capitalism well-oiled takes precedence even against a backdrop of fires, floods and hurricanes.

We will simply have to throw the kitchen sink at this. Policy tweaks such as a carbon tax won’t do it. We need to fundamentally re-evaluate our relationship to ownership, work and capital. The impact of a dramatic reconfiguration of the industrial economy require similarly large changes to the welfare state. Basic incomes, large-scale public works programmes, everything has to be on the table to ensure that the oncoming system shocks do not leave vast swathes of the global population starving and destitute. Perhaps even more fundamentally, we cannot continue to treat the welfare system as a tool for disciplining the supposedly idle underclasses. Our system must be reformed with a more humane view of worklessness, poverty and migration than we have now.

US Senator Dianne Feinstein’s meeting with schoolchildren petitioning her to take action over the issue went viral because of the way she condescended to them for, basically, asking her to leave them a planet behind to live on. “I’ve been doing this for 30 years,” she said, “I know what I’m doing.” The obvious response is, of course, that messing something up for 30 years is quite long enough, thanks. Long tenure without results is not the same thing as expertise.

This is a tough and bitter pill to swallow for the political professionals whose feet are firmly under the table. It is increasingly obvious that all their tactics have done almost nothing except run down the clock, but still they insist that it’s the young who just don’t get it and that things aren’t that simple. They’re the living embodiment of the famous New Yorker cartoon, with a suited man sat in a post-apocalyptic landscape telling his young audience “Yes, the planet got destroyed. But for a beautiful moment in time we created a lot of value for shareholders.”
 
Germany used pure capitalism to get this renewables revolution moving. Far more pure than any "capitalism" we employ here in the US.

Creating rules advantageous to consumers rather than utilities is not socialism.
Creating rules advantageous to consumers is anti-capitalist.
Capitalism is all about the accumulation of capital. The transfer of resources from peons to the capitalists. When you create rules that hinder this flow of resources to the capitalists, you are anti-capitalist.
 
Nuclear is the most expensive way to generate electricity. How is that the environmentalists' fault? What happened to the free market fairy you people believe in? The free market has spoken, and it says that nuclear is too damned expensive to build.

The reason is all the extra regulations and delays you get when you try to build one. The cost of building new nuclear plants in China are about one half the cost of building one in the US.
 
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Creating rules advantageous to consumers is anti-capitalist.
Capitalism is all about the accumulation of capital. The transfer of resources from peons to the capitalists. When you create rules that hinder this flow of resources to the capitalists, you are anti-capitalist.

Capitalism or free-market enterprise can also be seen as a method to cooperate. Those who do a better job cooperating with their customers and employees often does better than those who do not.
 
Capitalism or free-market enterprise can also be seen as a method to cooperate. Those who do a better job cooperating with their customers and employees often does better than those who do not.
Unless the laws are written so they give certain parties control of the marketplace. (Like in Texas).
 
Capitalism or free-market enterprise can also be seen as a method to cooperate. Those who do a better job cooperating with their customers and employees often does better than those who do not.
The best strategy for capitalists is to extract as much revenue from customers as possible and pay their employees as little as possible. Cooperation is socialist, not capitalist.
The free market also interferes with the accumulation of capital by letting others capture revenue and driving down revenue. Capitalists like monopolies best.
 
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