Launch is Imminent

[kpanda17]

First trim to be releases:

2x motor 350 mile range with 4680 gen 2 batteries $69K

Next trims with 4680 gen 3 (yet to come)
2x motor 500 miles $79K
3x motor 600 miles $99K
For these trims we might have to wait until 2024 due to waiting for 4680 gen 3s

All guesses by other's
Don’t shoot the messenger

Batteries

 

[Buckminster]

We are now testing Cybertruck vehicles around the world for final certification and validation. This might be the most unique vehicle product in decades; with that comes trialing and testing new technologies. As far as we know, Cybertruck will be the first sub-19 ft. truck (fitting into a garage) that has both four doors and 6+ ft. bed. Both technologically and architecturally, this vehicle will break a lot of boundaries – very much in line with how we think about vehicle engineering and manufacturing.

 

[kpanda17]

Nothing less from Elon, disruption
Like landing rocket boosters
Robots walking around a factory
Cool!

 

[texas_star_TM3]

We are now testing Cybertruck vehicles around the world for final certification and validation. This might be the most unique vehicle product in decades; with that comes trialing and testing new technologies. As far as we know, Cybertruck will be the first sub-19 ft. truck (fitting into a garage) that has both four doors and 6+ ft. bed. Both technologically and architecturally, this vehicle will break a lot of boundaries – very much in line with how we think about vehicle engineering and manufacturing.
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cool pics. but wait - what about this "We are now testing Cybertruck vehicles around the world for final certification and validation."

so they are *just about* to start production but are also still testing around the world and haven't certified and validated the production design yet?

driving through standing water and mud puddles should have been done years ago

 

[lowtek]

I agree. Probably 20% of those reservations go through. But they will likely end up with another 0.5 million once you can make new reservations.

Also Elon has unfortunately managed to put a rather ugly face on the brand IMHO. Not giving Tesla his all, looking like a fool in his financial decisions as his pissed away billions on Twitter. What if he does something stupid that impacts your ownership.

I will investigate other brands in my next purchase. Will still consider Tesla. But 2 years ago I thought I’d own Teslas forever. Now I’m embarrassed to be associated with the Brand.

Elon != Tesla, this is a silly position to take. It was his own money, he can do what he wants. We have no idea how much he's been involved previous to the purchase or now. Elon is a hard working visionary, not a manager. Tesla has good managers, they have for a long time. Good luck with your Lyric.

 

[lowtek]

cool pics. but wait - what about this "We are now testing Cybertruck vehicles around the world for final certification and validation."

so they are *just about* to start production but are also still testing around the world and haven't certified and validated the production design yet?

driving through standing water and mud puddles should have been done years ago

Interesting viewpoint, clearly you should apply for a job at Tesla since you seem to know more than they do about mass producing cars.

 

[Buckminster]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1681796470213599233

 

[Earl]

Interesting. I wonder if or what kind of skid plates it may have to protect the underbody from rocks?
Clearly, we're all just speculating but I wonder if they/it will have any structural component or just be bolt-on armor.

 

[Buckminster]

So what do we think about the 6'+ bed length statement? 6.1' or is Tesla hiding a 6.5' bed in plain site?

 

[uscbucsfan]

So what do we think about the 6'+ bed length statement? 6.1' or is Tesla hiding a 6.5' bed in plain site?

It's not 6.5 in any of the prototypes, I'd have to find it, but someone measure it with their camera app and just over 6'.

 

[afadeev]

cool pics. but wait - what about this "We are now testing Cybertruck vehicles around the world for final certification and validation."
so they are *just about* to start production but are also still testing around the world and haven't certified and validated the production design yet?
driving through standing water and mud puddles should have been done years ago

I am more concerned about the wiper failing to keep up with clearing the mud in the pic above.
I certainly hope they realized that single arm needs help, and will switch to two (2) arm wiper design before actual customer-delivery production run kicks off. Or soon thereafter, and let eager beavers drive with a squeegee and a bucket on the ready.

Robots walking around a factory
Cool!

That BS is all for show.
Don't get distracted with the fluff.

a

 

[SamS]

Going into the earning call social media was filled with assurance Cybertruck would be released in 3rd quarter.

Now it appears to be end of 4th quarter.

I think that’s the single most important changed expectation from the call which precipitated the sell off.

Discuss.

 

[ItsNotAboutTheMoney]

Going into the earning call social media was filled with assurance Cybertruck would be released in 3rd quarter.

Now it appears to be end of 4th quarter.

I think that’s the single most important changed expectation from the call which precipitated the sell off.

Discuss.

Anybody who followed the calls during the Model X development would say that it doesn't mean 4th quarter, it means no earlier than 4th quarter.

 

[kpanda17]

I think a delivery of even 1 CT is necessary in 2023
Remember the first delivery deadline for the S back in the day, they did it then
It’s Elon and when pushed, he always delivers

 

[Mengy]

I was really disappointed they didn't give more info about the CT launch. Like no info at all really. It certainly does not feel like we are close to launch, it wouldn't surprise me at all if the first delivery slips into 2024. I hope they start deliveries in 2023 but I'm not feeling confident about it any longer.

 

[mongo]

I think a delivery of even 1 CT is necessary in 2023
Remember the first delivery deadline for the S back in the day, they did it then
It’s Elon and when pushed, he always delivers

Financially, it looks best to hold off delivery until they can deliver a bunch in a quarter to increase margins. 3 was margin negative, Y started its first quarter positive.

Given they are making release candidates now, Q4 deliveries seem likely and Q3 may be feasible.

 

[kpanda17]

Think Elon is getting ready for the 9/6 CT launch day where we will get a lot of info
He likes product announcements as separate events, such as battery day, AI day, etc
We get CT day in Sept

 

[ThomasD]

So what exactly are they waiting on for validation and certification? Crash test rating? J2807 for tow rating? Payload capacity ratings? I do think that that windshield wiper system needs to be redone.

 

[kpanda17]

None of this
Just waiting for launch day for when everyone is back from summer vacations
Crazy as it sounds, product announcements, launches happen sept to dec 10
Not now until sept
Not 12/10 to 12/31
Everyone’s head is somewhere else
My take

 

[uscbucsfan]

None of this
Just waiting for launch day for when everyone is back from summer vacations
Crazy as it sounds, product announcements, launches happen sept to dec 10
Not now until sept
Not 12/10 to 12/31
Everyone’s head is somewhere else
My take

This and the lines aren't ready for actual.they are still in testing and tooling phase according to the Q2 earnings call.

Previous new releases made a ton of cars in the testing phase until the line was ready for production like the Austin MY.