Not. After reading many authoritative posts here about how Tesla will roll out the Model 3, it was entertaining to learn from Elon that in fact high performance including AWD will not be available for months. I guess he didn't consult this forum.
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Elon in Q4 2015 conference call: "And our default plan as we've done in the past is that the initial sales are relatively highly optioned versions of the car. Because obviously, we've got to pay back the investment of all the tooling and everything, so that sort of makes sense to have the higher optioned versions first. So, that's what we did with the Model S and also again with the Model X." Source
And upgraded materials for the interior, upgraded seats, premium sound, fancy wheels, expensive paint options, etc. "Highly optioned" cars without the complexity of having to build multiple models at the outset.They will start with as simple cofiguration possible for as high a price possible i.e. Bigger battery with rwd.
I don't at all believe they redesigned the battery packs for more cells. My thinking has been that the prototypes were made with prototype 21-70s that used the current 90/100 kWh pack chemistry.Yes, "Highly optioned" being options with highest margin, that are easy to install and widely available.
AP2 being the first on the list of "mandatory options" - it costs them nothing to include it, and brings in a good amount per car.
There were some hints last year that M3 at reveal had 70kWh battery, it was the bigger one.
The pack is made of 8 modules, it makes sense that the smaller pack uses just 6 of those same modules (ease of production, all modules are the same).
One module was 8,75 kWh and 6 modules were 52 kWh. They said at least 215 miles for the base => 4,13 miles / kWh
8 modules were 70 kWh with around 280 miles of range (a bit higher weight)
Than the Bolt was revealed, and later also its 238 EPA miles. I'm sure tesla its efficiency long before it was revealed to the public.
Tesla went back to the drawing board how can they squeeze more cells into same battery enclosure.
Did some optimizations and carried them over to Model S and X also. P100D came to be.
Same tricks transformed that 70 kWh Model 3 battery into 75 kWh battery. And 52 kWh base battery into 56 kWh battery.
And 215 base range into 231 base range. Still not quite there yet, some more tricks are needed for additional 5% to come above 240.
Special tires maybe (remember Hankook?)
All this results in around 310 miles of range for 75 kWh Model 3.
We also know model 3 inverter is good for +300kW. This jives with 75kWh battery, good old 4C max discharge.
Base model with only 6 modules at 300V will only get 220 kW at same 4C discharge.
GM Bolt has 150kW and 6.5s 0-60 time. M3 will be slightly heavier but will have more than a third higher max power (at same motor rpm that means a third more torque and acceleration). I predict 5,7s 0-60 for base M356. M375 will have another third more power and torque, but about 10% higher weight, this by itself would result in some 4,7 s 0-60 time. But having same max torque capabilites and higher voltage, this more power would only show above some speed - say 40mph. From 0 to 40 they would be the same, only above 40mph M375 will pull ahead, shaving some tenths from 0-60 time, say half a second.
Summary :
- base configuration: 56 kWh (6 battery modules in series, 300V max, 220 kW), 240 EPA miles, 5.7s0-60
- upgraded battery: 75 kWh (8 modules, 400V, 300 kW), 310 EPA miles, 5.2s 0-60
The Model S 60D in snow is awesome! Handles really well. On the 3 I want that as well. In LaLa land RWD is plenty good enough.Living in New England means that I have non-performance-related reasons for wanting dual drive. It's a four letter reason: SNOW
You are not following the topic closely. It wasn't forum members who came up with the argument that Tesla would deliver highly optioned versions first. It was Elon himself who said that. Click HERE to listen. Elon said that on 10th Feb 2016.
Obviously, something has changed between then and now. We don't know what. My guess is, they found out that the gearboxes they ordered from a supplier didn't pass the long-term durability tests, so they contracted a new supplier. Therefore those parts will be delayed. It's not a deliberate choice. Many existing Tesla owners won't get their D or P versions before some non-owners get their single motor versions first. As a result, many Tesla owners or non-owners who waited in line on day one will miss the deadline for full tax credits. This was not the plan at all. The full tax credits will end either on Mar 31, 2018 or Jun 30, 2018. There is no third option. Either way, it will be too late for some D and P buyers.
Yes, because that's the only thing they can produce until they get the parts for the AWD. Will be 2WD orders w/ 75KW packs fulfilled first. All Tesla employees that want AWD will also be skipped.Does this announcement mean that 2WD orders will be filled first, starting from west to east?
Living in New England means that I have non-performance-related reasons for wanting dual drive. It's a four letter reason: SNOW
This should mean my order advancing to 1st quarter 2018, guaranteeing the fed tax credit. Goods news for some.Yes, because that's the only thing they can produce until they get the parts for the AWD. Will be 2WD orders w/ 75KW packs fulfilled first. All Tesla employees that want AWD will also be skipped.
I suspect that by the time Model 3s become available on the other side of the continent, the AWD and Performance options will be available too, or very soon thereafter. It's not going to be much of an issue for any except the folks in California.