It is a trend, not an absolute, that the M3P production is toward end of the month, and Tesla frequently does bolus delivery right before end of quarter.
Considering June 30 is the last day of quarter, I’m making guesses based on trends, that most people will get a VIN in late first to end of 2nd week of June, with delivery being June 14th-30th, varying a touch on region abd VIN timing.
I only even comment because I damn near screwed up my own delivery by being impatient. I found a VIN on ev-tsla inventory and asked to have it assigned. When declined I demanded, and it took a regional manager saying it could cause me to not get delivery until the next quarter to back off. He was going to do it, but said “this is an early preproduction VIN and I’m worried you will be sorry” to say fine I’ll wait. 2d later I had a VIN. 12d later I had the car... 10d till end of quarter.
Waiting sucks. And this system isn’t transparent... just hoping others learn from what we’ve seen. Be patient. Q2 is almost done. Most will get the ride soon. And it’s incredible.