If Audi can get this Q8 etron to market as described in the article, I would estimate they are more than 6 years behind Tesla.
The article I looked at said at least 100,000 euros, or at least $135,000. I estimate that a 2017 Model X with 350+ miles of epa estimated range will cost $90,000 if Tesla decides to offer that size battery. So, looking at similar performance for the 2017 Audi costing 50% more, I suspect Tesla will be at least 3 years ahead of Audi in 2017, for a total of over 6 years advantage currently (i.e., 6 years total if Tesla stood still for the following 3 years (won't happen) and Audi brought their costs down by 1/3 over those following 3 years ($135K to $90K)).
fwiw, I projected $90,000 for the 350+ mile Model X based on 1) roughly $5-7,000 premium for Model X over known Model S 85 kWh pricing, 2) Elon's comments in Europe last week that they are looking for at least 30% improvement in batteries, hoping for 40% by 2017, 3) $3-5,000 cushion Tesla can put towards cost of larger battery to match or beat 370 miles suggested for Q8.
I don't want to be complacent about what other automakers might be able to do, but the Q8 reporting is consistent with a very large lead for Tesla, at least as far as Audi.
here's the article on Q8 I was drawing from
confirmed: Electric Audi Q8 e-tron gets production green light with 370-mile range | ecomento.com
The article I looked at said at least 100,000 euros, or at least $135,000. I estimate that a 2017 Model X with 350+ miles of epa estimated range will cost $90,000 if Tesla decides to offer that size battery. So, looking at similar performance for the 2017 Audi costing 50% more, I suspect Tesla will be at least 3 years ahead of Audi in 2017, for a total of over 6 years advantage currently (i.e., 6 years total if Tesla stood still for the following 3 years (won't happen) and Audi brought their costs down by 1/3 over those following 3 years ($135K to $90K)).
fwiw, I projected $90,000 for the 350+ mile Model X based on 1) roughly $5-7,000 premium for Model X over known Model S 85 kWh pricing, 2) Elon's comments in Europe last week that they are looking for at least 30% improvement in batteries, hoping for 40% by 2017, 3) $3-5,000 cushion Tesla can put towards cost of larger battery to match or beat 370 miles suggested for Q8.
I don't want to be complacent about what other automakers might be able to do, but the Q8 reporting is consistent with a very large lead for Tesla, at least as far as Audi.
here's the article on Q8 I was drawing from
confirmed: Electric Audi Q8 e-tron gets production green light with 370-mile range | ecomento.com