nwdiver
Well-Known Member
About once a year I head over to see how ITER is doing. First ignition coming in 2025...
I'm not necessarily opposed to ITER as a science project but it has more in common with the Apollo Program than a practical solution to climate change. We might get a proof of concept by ~2025. The hurdles after that are too numerous to count. I wouldn't take 10:1 odds on commercial operation before 2050. Add to that the fact that thermal fusion is DOA. To be economically viable in todays market generators cannot use heat as an intermediate step. It's gotta be fusion => electricity or it simply isn't viable. Economics matters.
For historical context it took fission ~15 years to go from 'proof of concept' at Chicago Pile-1 in 1942 to the shippingport reactor in 1957.
It's too late in the game for fusion to save us from our addiction to fossil fuels. Solar, Wind, Demand Response and Storage are the only players left on the field...
*Correction* Proof of concept NET 2035
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