Go look at the actual modeling of this people have done. Nothing like that.
It would be good to get a link to that (I think
@Zoomit has a model and he could chime in). I just have a hard time wrapping my head around why, if the contribution of aero is as large as you say, NO ONE reports better than about 200Wh/mi (230Wh/mi in the P3D+), for modest speeds, for the AWD. I mean, it takes energy to move the car, turn those wheels, overcome that friction.
What do you get at 25mph? According to your original formula, you should get
30Wh/mi (275Wh/mi*(25/75)^2).
Anyway, let's go to a larger number, and let's call the aero losses 150Wh/mi at 75mph (I think this is WAY higher than it actually is), with overall 275Wh/mi, how would that look?
Crudely, it would be: 125Wh/mi + 150Wh/mi*(25/75)^2 = 142Wh/mi (I'm neglecting the 16Wh/mi increase at low speed, from the 400W static power)
Seems unlikely...can you get this efficiency in a P3D+? Or even 160Wh/mi?
The only way this is remotely possible I think is in a RWD running at 35mph (implies 513 miles on a charge). But that vehicle has a better base efficiency, and I would guess can get better than 240Wh/mi @ 75mph.
I know there are EPA coefficients, but do note that those are curve fits, so they can be a little tricky.
Also, note that I am kind of assuming there isn't a significant proportion of losses that scale linearly (not with the square like aero) with speed (there probably are some, but I suspect they are fairly small - but I don't know). The obvious physical contributors are the static power dissipation of the car (400W minimum I think), and the energy proportional to distance needed to physically to move the car (rolling resistance, other friction (drivetrain losses, battery discharge waste heat, inverter efficiency), would fall into this category) - as far as Wh/mi is concerned, this is kind of a "constant", does not scale with speed, and is likely the dominant contributor to the efficiency at low speeds (at very low speeds the 400W static matters of course - even at 25mph it is 16Wh/mi).
It is a good question though, I'd love to know what the actual number is at 75mph - it would make all this scaling so much easier!
I guess I can figure this out for myself if I test carefully, once at 80mph, once at 65mph, over the same course, and make the (small) correction for static losses. No time for that though.