Depends on what I'm doing. If I'm not day trading then probably no.When you plan according to the Fib levels, do you consider established resistances and supports between the fib levels?
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Depends on what I'm doing. If I'm not day trading then probably no.When you plan according to the Fib levels, do you consider established resistances and supports between the fib levels?
I see a possible pull back tomorrow, but I don't care. I bought 9,000 shares at 243 to cover 60X 247.5CC for this Friday. I also sold 30X 255CCs on the rest for next Friday. Soon I plan to use those shares to sell Jan 2025 300CCs for around $40 and have income for the next year. They are a buy-write.
Edit: I see MAcro as solid after CPI, etc. With Cybertruck coming, I see the SP over 250 in two weeks.
I added a few $247.5 at $4. The 10-year is a +2% and Tesla just keeps on climbing, great.
I hope you used that drop to 240 to your advantage...?TSLA fighting over the 50-day currently
The huge 11/17 $240 call wall may be putting negative pressure.
View attachment 990940
What app is that Jim?Never saw so many sell orders sitting at a strike on TSLA ($250). Most I've seen at major resistance levels were around 150k-175k, this is almost 300k. I don't think the big bois would show their hand like that, yet I'm still curious if that's a tip about our magic target before next decent leg down.
View attachment 990953
What app is that Jim?
I dipped my toes in the water, using leaps to back cc (aka poor man's covered call). I decided, fairly quickly, that I didn't like the dynamic. The fundamental problem is that leaps don't move as fast as the share price does, and can move much more slowly than the short call (delta goes higher on the short call). Figuring out in real time how close I was to the transition, along with changes in IV - the end result was a much more complex equation that I was reasonably confident was costing me money, and was definitely stressing me out.I'm finding LEAPs too stressful TBH, will look to start acquiring shares instead
I missed out on the first half of the trading day, so I haven't rolled. Looking at it now - we've entered that range where I've found myself before. Sometimes it works out just fine, and some times this is the moment where the positions gets run over, with months of DITM coming.So, did you roll ?
The problem with having so much time still left this week is that the strike improvement is minimal. Right now it is just $5. That new strike could soon be over taken just today !
I'll have to rethink the thumb rules - esp. on how and when to roll or how to manage "stop loss".
Still holding the below covered calls for next Friday (9 days). Will likely leave for next week to deal with unless we make it over $247 this week.
30x -C235 11/24 @ 3.15 (currently13.6211.60) - Effective share sale price if I do nothing $238.15
15x -C240 11/24 @1.00 (currently10.208.39) - Effective share sale price if I do nothing $241.00
10x - C250 11/24 @ 2.00 (currently5.103.92)- Effective share sale price if I do nothing $252.00
Rolled the ITM 15x -C230 11/17 yesterday to 15x -C265 1/19/24 (65 days) for an even roll (~$9.00).
$254.xx resistance is now moved up to $260.41 today, same VERY strong strength. If we ring that bell I doubt we’ll move higher. Still short covered calls @ $245 for next week 11/24.. bought back 5 of 12 today and resold same strike for +$2.85 credit.$242 is the target, but we could stretch up to $246 IMO.. $254.xx is VERY big resistance.. if we break that, well all upper strikes are in play.
Yes, this is my conclusion too - in fact all longer-dated longs move less than the weeklies, so that's always something to bear in mind, but shorter dated longs lessI dipped my toes in the water, using leaps to back cc (aka poor man's covered call). I decided, fairly quickly, that I didn't like the dynamic. The fundamental problem is that leaps don't move as fast as the share price does, and can move much more slowly than the short call (delta goes higher on the short call). Figuring out in real time how close I was to the transition, along with changes in IV - the end result was a much more complex equation that I was reasonably confident was costing me money, and was definitely stressing me out.
With share backed cc, even if margin backed, the shares are ALWAYS gaining value faster than the short call is losing value. It might not be by much, and the bid/ask spread on the short call might overwhelm the changing value of the shares (pretty easily actually when the call is a week+ out and/or DITM), but the fundamental relationship holds. The shares always have a delta of 1.
So I buy leaps for capital gains purposes, and I buy shares for income / cc purposes.
Somehow longer term CCs don't appeal to me !Thanks for asking - you've prompted me to make a decision. I decided to roll to the Jan '24 expiration and 270 strike.
Thumb rules are just that - guidance developed ahead of time on what to do when situations arise. They are well short of mechanistic trading rules - if the trades could be reduced to an algorithm that won over a wide range of market conditions, then somebody with more money, analytical power, and other resources (than me) would already be running the trading algorithm and squeezing the pennies out of it. As long as there was a big enough supply of that profitable trade, that entity would be demanding all of it and looking for more. Thereby eliminating the value in the trading pattern.