(cough)Yes. Same tools I PM’d a month or two ago.
where. is. it. again.
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(cough)Yes. Same tools I PM’d a month or two ago.
i grabbed at the dip: 9/17 +p640/-p675Well, looking at how SP was falling this a.m. I decided 710 might be in play and rolled these into lower strikes.
-100x bps 9/17 690/685 @0.85
-200x bps 9/24 690/680 @2.65
Prices were all over the place while I was scrambling to put the trades in and close old position, but got about $5k credit from this and will make me sleep better.
Too bad I didn't follow my suggestion to wait until this week to see what MM will be up to instead of selling puts last week
Anything at the dip without a prior put position to manage should be great, I think.i grabbed at the dip: 9/17 +p640/-p675
^ this.I have a theory, based off of looking at max-pain for every week going out to 10/8.
This week I think that $700 call wall will disapear at some point. Guessing when SP drops close enough for whomever to take nice enough profits. When that happens it's game on for run to $750 to close the week.
Looking out further to 9/24 I'm being careful as it could run to $800 easily as there doesn't seem to be any calls impeding.
10/1 is a $800 small-ish call wall at 2.8k, but could disapear as well.
10/8 $800 call wall 4.9k.
The next few weeks look great for selling aggressive puts. I'm going to be very conservative with selling calls
Not advice.
Decided not to wait until Friday, closed the last 1/3 at $1.60 to be clear to STO some 0924 once SP recovers to ~$740 -- probably a ladder of thirds at ~$770/$780/$790. Going to mull over whether to try the Fri/Mon gambit again this week -- seems like I win if it works 50% of the time, and possibly this week was an anomaly.
- GTC order to BTC 2/3 of my $765 position at $2 for a $7 profit -- hit.
- Will let the rest expire or close lower on Friday.
- Friday BTO at $760 for a Monday AM pop didn't work this week (bought too early, and Elon email plus noise seems to have overwhelmed FSDv10 news).
I also closed out the call side of my IC's for both this week and next for 95% on that side.How i fixed my 9/17 IC +p680/-p720/-c800/+c840 when it went ITM during today's absurd manipulation to steal the 710 stop losses:
BTC the -c800/+c840; the quick drop meant buyback was suddenly cheap due to far OTM.
Roll the +p680/-p720 to 9/24 with credit (and new position is now up 16%).
STO 9/17 +p640/-p675 to refund me all of today's commissions/fees.
Overall $17k credit means no more IC panic during this week's sp uncertainly, and increased margin room to help out in case there's another dip.
Edit: Beta 10 seems to still have some major screw ups based on @wholemarsblog and @Frenchie videos, so not at prime time for robotaxi yet, but the progress is obvious.
Wouldn't be surprised if it's near perfect in 6mo.
NOT-ADVICE of course.I have a theory, based off of looking at max-pain for every week going out to 10/8.
This week I think that $700 call wall will disapear at some point. Guessing when SP drops close enough for whomever to take nice enough profits. When that happens it's game on for run to $750 to close the week.
Looking out further to 9/24 I'm being careful as it could run to $800 easily as there doesn't seem to be any calls impeding.
10/1 is a $800 small-ish call wall at 2.8k, but could disapear as well.
10/8 $800 call wall 4.9k.
The next few weeks look great for selling aggressive puts. I'm going to be very conservative with selling calls
Not advice.
Hey Yoona - I haven't looked closely - is there a way to get Swaggy to only show the Friday expirations on that chart you screenshot for us earlier? Or maybe Thursday and Friday (I don't expect this latter feature).i only grabbed the screenshot from
Options Max Pain - Calculations for SPY
Our Max Pain calculator displays the aggregate nominal value of options premium expiring at each strike price, for each expiration.swaggystocks.com
Never mind - I see what I'm looking for. The Friday expirations get a circle on the larger chart. That works for me!Hey Yoona - I haven't looked closely - is there a way to get Swaggy to only show the Friday expirations on that chart you screenshot for us earlier? Or maybe Thursday and Friday (I don't expect this latter feature).
I consider historical max pain information to be roughly useless. Or at least it's very hard to pull out the Friday expirations when max pain has the very largest impact. I can use the max pain information earlier in the week particularly well when I have insight to how well it'll work out, but I also consider the max pain during the week to have a pretty weak gravitational pull.
That's great stuff - I've added that site to my other max pain site to keep an eye on this stuff.
i opened IC +p640/-p675/-c760/+c795 today.Anyone selling calls yet?
Anyone selling calls yet? I rolled about 1/3 of my put spreads to next week when they hit their atm short prices this am. 715’s and 720’s. I only did this with the ones that had a spread of <$50. I didn’t think I would have to do it but I did it to get accustomed to the mechanics of them. All 3 sets I sold for more credit than the original premium I had collected Wednesday when I first sold them. Their % losses (for that series since now it’s in trade management mode) also about halved when I rolled them. Will be watching them compared to the ones I didn’t roll throughout the week.
With no short calls and 1/3 put spreads rolled to next week I doubt I will hit my target this week.