So what are people’s play for FOMC week/Wednesday? Sit out? Sell straddles before meeting for the IV crush? Usual trades? Sell -c200s when we hit $190, sell -p170s at the MMD?
Based on the chart performance lately, our resident oracle and TSLA whisperer
@dl003, as well as Yoona (now on Twitter @lastadam), Pierre Roberge, Cary Artac, Tradytics (showing balanced between bullish/bearish for this week) + macro, I’m more comfortable selling -C210’s and up (for shares I’m ready to have called away) than sell -CSP above $155. The sense I get is the smart ppl aren’t selling CSP right now until there’s more clarity.
I plan to keep the starter short I opened Friday (-C270 8/18/23 on shares I have trapped there; earlier expiration dates weren’t worth the effort, and I plan to BTC well before anyway) and add to them on dips and hold through FOMOC, since everyone seems to be in agreement that we’ll go down after the next pop (both TA-wise and macro induced, though a rotation from banking into tech might delay it) and “definitely” see $160-170 before $240-250 and beyond.
I’m waiting for apex of next pop to STO a bunch of -C220 and -C242 for closer expiration on shares I have trapped there too. Premiums will be better if I wait.
Re selling CSP, on Friday I STO a couple -P150 4/6/23 just for fun (it paid a measly $140 per contract
). I don’t believe they’ll go ITM by then but even if they do, I don’t mind owning some shares down there anyway.
I’m afraid of selling -P170 or -P165 in the current environment. Would rather keep the cash free and open to act based on what’s in front of me and not tie it up.
I’m no expert and am still learning, so the above is not advice ;- )
Let’s have a great week!