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Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

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I have been looking around for some patterns in oversoldness on the daily and what came out would be in favor of one more deeply oversold drop necessary to make the next big leap up the most likely. As @dl003 stated on tops and bottoms, the same (3 times is a charm)seems to be happening with oversoldness. Only difference is that the third one is very much more oversold than the first 2 and then there is a significant run within a few weeks, sometimes months: here are a few of them and it is very consistent!
Scherm­afbeelding 2023-09-19 om 17.50.44.png
Scherm­afbeelding 2023-09-19 om 17.53.03.png

Scherm­afbeelding 2023-09-19 om 18.07.45.png
 
just a technical bounce enabled by 3 elements.

How low a strike would you do for 9/29 and would you go beyond given that you see how it’s playing out?

Edit: STO at 3:59pm
6x -C290 9/29 for $1.30 (2nd round)
10x -C300 10/20 for $5.40 (3rd round)

Learning to scale in and out to lessen impulsive mistakes and regrets. Based on PA tomorrow I plan to add or otherwise shuffle.

(-GEX Magnet at $255 is growing BTW)
 
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I have been very, very busy repositioning my portfolio, not quite finalised, still have some weekly -p270's to deal with and some long puts to buy

To summarise, I'm moving totally away from weeklies:

Rolled all my Dec 2025 +c140's to +c200 to take some profits
Rolled 54x Sep 2024 -c200 to 105x -c300, actually miscalculated and ended up with 125x -c300, but isn't affecting margin calculation much, so will leave for the moment

BTO 120x Dec 2025 +p270, STO 85x Sep 2024 -p300's
Also now have 30x Jan 2024 -300 straddle

Likely will roll these positions over time, but in priciple I wouldn't cry too much if the calls went ITM at expiry, there's a lot of profit in the puts, which can then be rewritten, etc.
 
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How low a strike would you do for 9/29 and would you go beyond given that you see how it’s playing out?

Edit: STO at 3:59pm
6x -C290 9/29 for $1.30 (2nd round)
10x -C300 10/20 for $5.40 (3rd round)

Learning to scale in and out to lessen impulsive mistakes and regrets. Based on PA tomorrow I plan to add or otherwise shuffle.

(-GEX Magnet at $255 is growing BTW)
Great minds! I opened 25x -C297.5 10/20 for an average of 5.70
 
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I have been very, very busy repositioning my portfolio, not quite finalised, still have some weekly -p270's to deal with and some long puts to buy

To summarise, I'm moving totally away from weeklies:

Rolled all my Dec 2025 +c140's to +c200 to take some profits
Rolled 54x Sep 2024 -c200 to 105x -c300, actually miscalculated and ended up with 125x -c300, but isn't affecting margin calculation much, so will leave for the moment

BTO 120x Dec 2025 +p270, STO 85x Sep 2024 -p300's
Also now have 30x Jan 2024 -300 straddle

Likely will roll these positions over time, but in priciple I wouldn't cry too much if the calls went ITM at expiry, there's a lot of profit in the puts, which can then be rewritten, etc.

What are you moving towards? Inquiring minds are curious!
 
Postpartum of Day #5 QTA generated levels. So far 5 out of 5 days the "Daily Range Low" and "Daily Range High" accurately contained the price action and provided several long off daily low and short off daily high opportunities.

1695162066643.png
 
NASDAQ is lower than last Friday, despite the prediction that there is a rate Pause tomorrow. So I'm expecting a Green Day tomorrow (if not in the morning, then in the afternoon). I also think TSLA will have a nice bounce. I think I will be writing calls tomorrow afternoon for next week. I'm tempted to buy some calls tomorrow morning on any weakness as well (but my luck isn't great with those - I think I pick the wrong strikes and my sell timing is off).