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Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House
- Thread starter adiggs
- Start date
EVNow
Well-Known Member
I expect people in CT forum to get as well. In this thread someone tracked # of trucks in outbound lot vs # of vins assigned and there was a good correlation.
You can see the missing trim pieces. But I'm sure there has been an uptick in production as well. See the outbound, not staging.
Knightshade
Well-Known Member
thenewguy1979
"The" Dog
bonafide out of wack.
Maybe he great at TA but his logics on FSD and PD are deeply flawed.....
I'm getting mine today, found out this morning! One more for my homies!Maybe I will finally get my Foundation (that had Jan-March delivery estimate)? Ramp seems to be going well now. Troy estimates less than 4,000 total deliveries next quarter (and they may already be approaching 1,000/week now)....
Good weekend fun. Looks like he put all his Uber savings into 220$ calls. Delivery numbers now include used cars guys lol.
Wow - how can people be this clueless? This is beyond stupid.
and thats all that matters
why are we even scrutinizing everything someone says when they have been right on the one thing that matters? His call for 185 then 175 was dead on. Thats something I havent seen in a while.
Some background: what this guy does is NOT TA. Order / option flow is another type of trading. Many think it is the holy grail and there are some merits. Chartists like me try to guess what big money is doing but if someone can see exactly what they are doing, thats a big step up.
I have a friend, absolutely genius. Hes a book trader - not a chartist / TA type. Dude is so good Fidelity hired him. He thinks Tesla is overvalued and Elon is a hack, but if you trade against him, you'll lose. So try to separate someone's beliefs from their technicals.
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The only problem is when there is such a strong confirmation bias you tend to overlook/misread the data that's in front of you.
That does happen. However, right is right. Only 5 days to go to see if he's right again or not. 180-220 so a green week. It's a pretty wide range but does go against the opinion of almost everyone on this thread since PD will "miss". Let's just wait and see.
I don't know if next week will be green or not, my short term expectation is a 2H candle close above 182, then we go from there.
FWIW, I think a lot of the TAs posted on X and circulated on this thread are pure BS or at best flip flopping. I have a faint feeling this guy might be on to something here due to my dabbling in order / option flow.
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Except, if we have so many that are “right” and they can’t lose, they should be quadtrillionaires. No one really knows! They are taking an educated guess based on their analysis. sometimes I even get it right...sort of like that broken clock.
If anything can happen and nobody knows anything then whats the point of this thread? Are we not exchanging experience and information to find patterns that have a high winning rate?
From the preview looks like hit-piece right on time for knock-out punch? 
Shorts/TSLAQ behind this attack?
Shorts/TSLAQ behind this attack?
From the preview looks like hit-piece right on time for knock-out punch?
Shorts/TSLAQ behind this attack?
Maybe a rerun from a few years ago? 60 Minutes Australia? That story doesn't appear to be airing in the US tomorrow night.
“I don't forecast but share whatever I saw on chart. I successfully offloaded TSLA between $280 and $310 to minimize my losses and loaded up my NVDA from $152 to $496, using my own TA and system. I tweeted a few times before from January to February this year (you can check my previous tweets) telling others about the sell signal I saw in TSLA at $250 and the buy signal at $49X in NVDA. Unfortunately, just a few cared.”
Look the guys obviously crazy. His also an uber driver and has no blue tick so he doesn't exactly have a huge amount of disposable income.
He may have been right on the 185 and 175 call but you know he would be a billionaire if he was right on the 300 top, sold everything and leveraged his entire networth on NVDA 800 yearly contracts around July 2023. A few correct calls doesn't make you a savant. Money talks and we all know if you have enough money you stop posting tips on how to make money.
thenewguy1979
"The" Dog
Who know. A lot of Savant are also Wacko. Maybe he fit in between somewhere
Let give the guy a few more days and let see.
yes, his Market On Close (screenshot 3:55pm) is the Closing Cross (starts at 3:55pm and executes at 4pm)
his view on MOC is one-sided: it is a bet for the next day but i don't think he realizes it is also a short covering of the whole day; tweets are misleading since short covering is always neutral but seen as bullish (ie, he sees a massive 4M order at 3:55 which in reality could be just be a buyback/closing of the day's MMD)
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