He is naive enough to fall for the TSLAQ narrativelol what a nut.
The China numbers…which we can track in near real time on a weekly basis already make a number of 480k literally impossible. They even make 465k damn near impossible
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He is naive enough to fall for the TSLAQ narrativelol what a nut.
The China numbers…which we can track in near real time on a weekly basis already make a number of 480k literally impossible. They even make 465k damn near impossible
I expect people in CT forum to get as well. In this thread someone tracked # of trucks in outbound lot vs # of vins assigned and there was a good correlation.There were at least two rounds of ordering in December, and those are all aging while other people likely not contributing to that data set are getting theirs.
You can see the missing trim pieces. But I'm sure there has been an uptick in production as well. See the outbound, not staging.Also Musk wouldn't have agreed that CT are ramping nicely if these were incomplete trucks.
I think that's too optimistic but I'll wait to see his video tonight to see what he's going by. We'd need to be seeing far less vehicles getting staged during the week and far more in outbound for that to be true. At most I figure we were at 630 per week actually shipping (the only important metric). And vin assignments have been way down this week, so I just don't know that I see it. Outbound yesterday had ~30 trucks. Far from the 150 that we'd need to see to actually hit 1000 units per week.
Just another conspiracy nutView attachment 1033661
bonafide out of wack.That dude and reality don't appear to talk to each other much
I'm getting mine today, found out this morning! One more for my homies!Maybe I will finally get my Foundation (that had Jan-March delivery estimate)? Ramp seems to be going well now. Troy estimates less than 4,000 total deliveries next quarter (and they may already be approaching 1,000/week now)....
Good weekend fun. Looks like he put all his Uber savings into 220$ calls. Delivery numbers now include used cars guys lol.Just another conspiracy nutView attachment 1033661
Wow - how can people be this clueless? This is beyond stupid.Good weekend fun. Looks like he put all his Uber savings into 220$ calls. Delivery numbers now include used cars guys lol.
and thats all that mattersMaybe he great at TA
The only problem is when there is such a strong confirmation bias you tend to overlook/misread the data that's in front of you.and thats all that matters
why are we even scrutinizing everything someone says when they have been right on the one thing that matters? His call for 185 then 175 was dead on. Thats something I havent seen in a while.
Some background: what this guy does is NOT TA. Order / option flow is another type of trading. Many think it is the holy grail and there are some merits. Chartists like me try to guess what big money is doing but if someone can see exactly what they are doing, thats a big step up.
I have a friend, absolutely genius. Hes a book trader - not a chartist / TA type. Dude is so good Fidelity hired him. He thinks Tesla is overvalued and Elon is a hack, but if you trade against him, you'll lose. So try to separate someone's beliefs from their technicals.
That does happen. However, right is right. Only 5 days to go to see if he's right again or not. 180-220 so a green week. It's a pretty wide range but does go against the opinion of almost everyone on this thread since PD will "miss". Let's just wait and see.The only problem is when there is such a strong confirmation bias you tend to overlook/misread the data that's in front of you.
Except, if we have so many that are “right” and they can’t lose, they should be quadtrillionaires. No one really knows! They are taking an educated guess based on their analysis. sometimes I even get it right...sort of like that broken clock.That does happen. However, right is right. Only 5 days to go to see if he's right again or not. 180-220 so a green week. It's a pretty wide range but does go against the opinion of almost everyone on this thread since PD will "miss". Let's just wait and see.
I don't know if next week will be green or not, my short term expectation is a 2H candle close above 182, then we go from there.
If anything can happen and nobody knows anything then whats the point of this thread? Are we not exchanging experience and information to find patterns that have a high winning rate?Except, if we have so many that are “right” and they can’t lose, they should be quadtrillionaires. No one really knows! They are taking an educated guess based on their analysis. sometimes I even get it right...sort of like that broken clock.
From the preview looks like hit-piece right on time for knock-out punch?
Shorts/TSLAQ behind this attack?
Plus Autopilot is not FSD. So wrong to run an old hit piece again as if new.Maybe a rerun from a few years ago? 60 Minutes Australia? That story doesn't appear to be airing in the US tomorrow night.
Look the guys obviously crazy. His also an uber driver and has no blue tick so he doesn't exactly have a huge amount of disposable income.and thats all that matters
why are we even scrutinizing everything someone says when they have been right on the one thing that matters? His call for 185 then 175 was dead on. Thats something I havent seen in a while.
Some background: what this guy does is NOT TA. Order / option flow is another type of trading. Many think it is the holy grail and there are some merits. Chartists like me try to guess what big money is doing but if someone can see exactly what they are doing, thats a big step up.
I have a friend, absolutely genius. Hes a book trader - not a chartist / TA type. Dude is so good Fidelity hired him. He thinks Tesla is overvalued and Elon is a hack, but if you trade against him, you'll lose. So try to separate someone's beliefs from their technicals.
Who know. A lot of Savant are also Wacko. Maybe he fit in between somewhereLook the guys obviously crazy. His also an uber driver and has no blue tick so he doesn't exactly have a huge amount of disposable income.
He may have been right on the 185 and 175 call but you know he would be a billionaire if he was right on the 300 top, sold everything and leveraged his entire networth on NVDA 800 yearly contracts around July 2023. A few correct calls doesn't make you a savant. Money talks and we all know if you have enough money you stop posting tips on how to make money.
yes, his Market On Close (screenshot 3:55pm) is the Closing Cross (starts at 3:55pm and executes at 4pm)Maybe it’s the normal daily short covering seen at every closing cross?