Really good points, here are a few more:I don't really think it's too biased. I've been following that thread well before most people even knew about potential EV tax incentives and even as EV credit discussion and info became more widespread, it's had a pretty minimal impact on the majority of folks on that thread. There definitely are those like me who have been playing the long game (I ordered in April and have been waiting patiently to see if anything happens with the incentives), but we are a very small minority on there. Even on this thread, which should be heavily biased to those like me, there are folks who either weren't really aware about any of this stuff and accepted deliveries or others who have had other reasons to take up their orders right away.
And that's setting aside the fact that a very small section of the average consumers who aren't obsessively reading forums/reddit even know anything about BBB and the potential for EV incentives for Tesla. If anything, the sampling here should be more biased towards those who might be influenced to put a hold on their orders because there is lots of discussion about the incentives on many threads and that stuff is inescapable. In the real world, the Venn diagram intersection of people with Tesla orders, who don't need a car asap, who actually are even aware of potential EV incentives, trust the legislation to pass, and have the patience to not give into the desire for instant gratification isn't all that large imo. And I don't think I'm wrong on that front as Tesla really hasn't had to make any drastic changes to how they are operating and nothing related has made the news either.
There are less than 1000 "registrations" in the order tracker spreadsheet of doom here in the Y forum.
Tesla has sold at least 100x more than that in the US alone, over the last two quarters.
There are 1999 people online right now as I post, including over 500 members and over 1400 visitors.
Seems logical to conclude the intersection between people closely tracking BBB / possible EV incentives AND purchasing a Tesla is probably low, and its easy to fall into the confirmation bias trap when participating in threads such as this.