Tesla Price Estimator

[TravelSD80]

Two things:

1) I tried to do an estimate without a serial number (I don't have a Tesla but wanted to estimate how much a CPO car would be with x configuration) and it errored out with no estimate yet deducted an estimate from my total allowed.

2) Enable us to input a VIN instead of a serial number. Many used ads just list the VIN and not the serial number, so it's difficult to input the proper parameters.

 

[wolfson292]

Two things:

1) I tried to do an estimate without a serial number (I don't have a Tesla but wanted to estimate how much a CPO car would be with x configuration) and it errored out with no estimate yet deducted an estimate from my total allowed.

2) Enable us to input a VIN instead of a serial number. Many used ads just list the VIN and not the serial number, so it's difficult to input the proper parameters.

I'll take a look. Private Message me your email if you'd like and I'll add some more. Appreciate the bug report.

The last few digits of the VIN are the serial #. I'll add a little how to on how to determine it.

 

[Eugene Ash]

Well, i've got 78670 for AP 70D, textile, AP, Premium interior, smart suspension, pano roof, cold package. It is being auctioned at e-bay now, and we'll see what the results will be. Hope your algorithm overprices it : ).
On a constructive note: you can try to parse out a data set from e-bay and actual sold vehicles to enhance the data set. It won't be pretty to work with, but potentially will give a more accurate result.

 

[amallah]

Should 2016 be a choice in the Year selection or am I using this incorrectly?

 

[EMdoc12]

Wow. Just got an estimate of 71924 for my car. I'd take that in a heartbeat. Something tells me its a bit high though.

 

[DiamondDave]

This is pretty cool. I did a simple regression analysis on only P85s and P85+s with pano back in December. Independent variables were digits of s/n (P12345 was 12345) and mileage. I used s/n as a proxy for age which seems appropriate since that's all the potential buyer sees. My dependent variable was listed price at a point in time, not prices of actual sales. A linear model fit pretty well.

I thought about expanding the analysis as my purchase time frame drew closer (selfish, I know) and then the Great CPO Purge made data unavailable. One question I hadn't addressed was how to handle price changes over time. I'd expect the same s/n and mileage to have a slightly lower price associated with it now than it did last month. How do you handle this when analyzing historical data?

 

[BEEZR]

Well, i've got 78670 for AP 70D, textile, AP, Premium interior, smart suspension, pano roof, cold package. It is being auctioned at e-bay now, and we'll see what the results will be. Hope your algorithm overprices it : ).
On a constructive note: you can try to parse out a data set from e-bay and actual sold vehicles to enhance the data set. It won't be pretty to work with, but potentially will give a more accurate result.

What's a car like that doing at a Chrysler dealership and then on eBay? It's basically brand new... I'm suspicious about history when the Autocheck/Carfax is not included in the listing.

 

[Eugene Ash]

What's a car like that doing at a Chrysler dealership and then on eBay? It's basically brand new... I'm suspicious about history when the Autocheck/Carfax is not included in the listing.

If you google the vin, carfax shows up. Clean.
But the question is a great one, their other cars are not in the same league, not even close and their yelp reviews are abysmal two stars. They keep lowering the reserve daily, and 1 bidder bailed at ~67k. Suspecting that was their reserve that day. So they're motivated . But there was a better equipped 70d from ingeneer sold for 65k. So i think that Tesla's dataset makes the algorythm overshoot.

 

[jaguar36]

Looks like this site is down, any plans to bring it back up or was it just a experiment?

 

[wolfson292]

Looks like this site is down, any plans to bring it back up or was it just a experiment?

Fixing it now. Sorry about that...

 

[wolfson292]

Fixing it now. Sorry about that...

Site is back up now. Sorry for the downtime.

 

[Chief Mike]

Site is back up now. Sorry for the downtime.

I have tried to register and get an error email [email protected]

 

[wolfson292]

I have tried to register and get an error email [email protected]

History on CPO has been broke since Tesla redid website. I'll get it fixed. You need need to sign up for the new Supercharger maps.