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Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

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"It was just a trade bro"

I do wonder how much the media was desperately pumping the Burry Short TSLA narrative to try and hold it down. Their agenda has become too blatant, which is why most Americans don't trust the media anymore.

As far as Burry goes, he deleted his Twitter account (again) so someone must have gotten under his skin (again). He deletes his Twitter like 4 times a year though, so either his skin is very thin or he just does it for fun because Twitter sucks anyways.
 
From Munro's most recent video! 🥳

"I'm pretty sure that you're gonna see a bunch of short sellers that are going to give it a go again and see if they can make some money on Tesla. I'm hoping that they all rot. But I'm also certain that eventually these people will be forgotten but Elon Musk will be remembered forever." -- Sandy Munro
We already know Elon is still be remembered in 2255 as significant figure in history:
 
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Today's reminder a 3% move today is the same as a 15% move last year. Being a megacap after a stock split messes with your sense of proportion on monetary values.

That's...not accurate. The number of shares has no bearing on a percentage change in market cap. If TSLA were trading at 4,000 pre-split or 800 post-split, its market cap would be the same. However, a 3% move does add significantly more in terms of market cap at these levels than it did when TSLA was a $50 billion company, of course.

For instance, after Q3'19 earnings, when the company went up 20% ($50 -> $60 a share), it added $10 billion in market cap. Today, it added ~ $25 billion in market cap on a 3% move! That's impressive.
 
I’ll wait for @Papafox , but maybe China numbers + Q3 inevitability + GigaBerlin show&tell + Jeffries boost + shorts aflame + FOMO + my man Leo.

I know, it’s just… I’m so used to push-down Fridays! And the quarterly results and by implication China sales should have been obvious for two weeks now, and Giga Berlin for a week. I was telling myself all that good news led to a nice $820 Thursday and if all went well today we’d hold above $800 on the Friday Afternoon Plunge. And it was absolutely the direct opposite! Tickling $850 after hours! I’m pinching myself.
 
I know, it’s just… I’m so used to push-down Fridays! And the quarterly results and by implication China sales should have been obvious for two weeks now, and Giga Berlin for a week. I was telling myself all that good news led to a nice $820 Thursday and if all went well today we’d hold above $800 on the Friday Afternoon Plunge. And it was absolutely the direct opposite! Tickling $850 after hours! I’m pinching myself.
That’s why I stay out of the casino.
 
I know, it’s just… I’m so used to push-down Fridays! And the quarterly results and by implication China sales should have been obvious for two weeks now, and Giga Berlin for a week. I was telling myself all that good news led to a nice $820 Thursday and if all went well today we’d hold above $800 on the Friday Afternoon Plunge. And it was absolutely the direct opposite! Tickling $850 after hours! I’m pinching myself.

Maybe too late, but one thing I've learned is that the stock not responding to positive news for a given period of time makes it incrementally more likely to respond the next time, not less. It's just coiling the spring when we don't see it in the SP. A related risk for TMC bulls is being too early, and thinking that since "markets are efficient", we must be wrong. We haven't been so far.
 
Translation: His puts all expired worthless and he lost 100% of his trade so he no longer has a position. They make it look like he smartly decided to no longer bet against Tesla, but we know the truth...
Or he rolled them over a few times when it was down 200 or more points and he made huge profits and let the position end. Again, I've never been aware of him having negative returns. Not in stocks, not shorting, not in water, not in Fangs he bought 4-5 years ago. So....I believe it likely he could have gotten in and out quickly with a decent return. He's also not an idiot ..he is looking at what is happening in Austin, Berlin, Freemont, etc. He sees the backlog and the growth and would have been able to compare to Ford, VW, GM, etc. The thing with MB is that you don't know what his plan or thesis is...he's not advertising, he's not public, he's not asking others for money.

Also, he told EM to raise money shortly thereafter EM raised money despite having said he would not.