From the European wiki numbers it looks like Model 3 vs S&X is 13k vs 2.2k. i.e. 6:1.
If that ratio holds we may see lower S&X than 15k.
I'm assuming 4:1 - 60k Model 3 to 15k S&X.
And in some markets (Japan, S. Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Taiwan, etc) the 3:S+X ratio will be zero. 3 is not available everywhere. Also - for whatever you can trust the InsideEVs numbers - the ratio for the US is 3,35 to 1.
That said, 4 probably isn't a crazy ratio to go with. But 60k Model 3s is pretty low. 5k better than consensus, mind you.
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