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Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable
- Thread starter AudubonB
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Runarbt
Active Member
Last ER was also "different" - many expected sell the news, but it wasnt.. ;-)
You think the institutional investors are front running S&P to “sell the news” once we have a confirmation of GAAP profit?. That does not sound very smart.
I think we could see a sell off if we hear any uncertainty with the S&P inclusion.
I forgot to mention the ~700 shares I sold last year for dirt cheap before my latest rebalancing act. Ouch! Especially since my sister posted her retirement spot, 40 acres on a mountain surrounded by lakes and reserves in Canada. I would have around 500 shares if not for the pandemic... got nervous about a crash. Still am. But I try not to look at what I could have had - that's the glass half empty feeling I don't like.
Instead, I'm super grateful and helping others more now - delivering voting fliers, donating to KJZZ / NPR, Az Dem Candidates, Science/STEM... I highly recommend it for your own well being. Call it a 12th step if that's your thing. Lots of people need help now... you literally can't miss.
Whatever "analyst" has the $2.77B revenue estimate should just be removed from the numbers, they obviously have no clue or are just attempting to manipulate the numbers.
If there's a sell off, it's going to a whale coordinated attack and short lived. This is a momentum stock. There's a base price somewhere below this point - that much I agree with, but right now is not the time to play musical chair. "The next 4, 5 months will be very exciting" - Trevor Milton, 2020. There will be an attack to shake out weak longs but I think by now the whales have realized there's power in holding TSLA. This power is amplified by each whale who decides to hold. That is the power of scarcity. The less we are willing to sell, the more it take to manipulate.
Artful Dodger
"Neko no me"
Nope, not even close. The Elecktrik 'refresh' rumor was the previous Fall, and it was all about a refreshed interior because redFay wanted one, and Tesla hired Volvo's interior designer. When Raven was released, it was a drivetrain upgrade replacing the front AC motor with a SRPM from the Model 3.
The only thing Electrik achieved with that article was a few clikz and Osborning S/X sales in 2019Q1. Despicable yellow
Oh, and the Volvo guy redesigned the seats.
I guess. I'm thinking most of it is already priced in. Again I'm completely expecting to be wrong most of the time
So here's an important question. Assuming the quarter is profitable, when would we realistically expect to know about S&P inclusion? Days, weeks, months later?
No, let them keep waving the idiot flag above their heads.
Isn't this like saying there will be no Buying pressure from S&P inclusion?
If profits are reported, then S&P becomes viability, all eyes will be on that.
After that, Sept 22nd is share holder meeting and battery Day. (& can include Stock Split).
1st week of Oct is Q3 production numbers.
I'm all for small pull backs but seems like the long term trajectory till like 3Q 2021 atleast is going to be up. ~ Cheers!!
Two days at $1,637 is gonna bore the hell out of me.
Artful Dodger
"Neko no me"
Lol, if this was Olympic Figure Skating, that one would be from the French Judge.
Cheers!
In the window from say Thursday (if 2Q positive) until Nov 13 (new S&P rebalancing date)
Could be a repeat of yesterday, range is getting tight. I’d give it about 30 min to sort out here. See where we go from there. Nasdaq sell off this morning brought us down a bit
Yesterday afternoon I received an interesting phone call from Fidelity (where I have an IRA account). I have had an IRA account with them for 12 years. Last year I moved all my investment into TSLA. Keep in mind I have never received a phone call from them in the past, never.
So the phone call goes like this:
Fidelity: We notice you have all of your investment in TSLA. Why?
Me: Because I have done my research and I in believe in this company.
Fidelity: Would you like to talk to one of our experts about diversifying?
Me: Nope. I am all set.
Fidelity: We strongly suggest you talk to our experts about diversifying?
Me: Look, this is my money and I can invests it any way I want to. If I need any help I will reach out to you. Thanks for the offer.
Fidelity: But sir, we understand that..............
Me: Good bye (I hang up)
Has this happened to anyone else? Why would they be so concerned about my investment strategy?
So the phone call goes like this:
Fidelity: We notice you have all of your investment in TSLA. Why?
Me: Because I have done my research and I in believe in this company.
Fidelity: Would you like to talk to one of our experts about diversifying?
Me: Nope. I am all set.
Fidelity: We strongly suggest you talk to our experts about diversifying?
Me: Look, this is my money and I can invests it any way I want to. If I need any help I will reach out to you. Thanks for the offer.
Fidelity: But sir, we understand that..............
Me: Good bye (I hang up)
Has this happened to anyone else? Why would they be so concerned about my investment strategy?
They want to sell you something.
$2.77B for a keyfob maker is a lot
To say it's been priced in is to say you know at what price it should be trading at without the possibility of inclusion. Right now I don't think anybody knows and the price actions we've seen the last 7 months signal that we're still in a period of price discovery. Per my own calculation, for every year further into the future the market decides to look, TSLA should go up 35%. In 2019 it was looking at 2016. Who know what year it is looking at right now?I guess. I'm thinking most of it is already priced in. Again I'm completely expecting to be wrong most of the time
So here's an important question. Assuming the quarter is profitable, when would we realistically expect to know about S&P inclusion? Days, weeks, months later?
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