A more fun request for some spectulation
:
How long will it be before Cybertruck deliveries outpace Ford Lightning or Rivian (R1T+R1S) sales in a given month? In a quarter?
And how long before total/cumulative Cybertruck sales exceed those of Lightnings and/or Rivians, even though Ford and Rivian started selling earlier?
There's an Electrek article today saying that Ford's lightning hit a
monthly sales record for November:
"F-150 Lightning sales more than doubled (+113%) in November, with 4,393 units sold. With the growth, Ford’s Lightning is the best-selling electric pickup through November, edging out the Rivian R1T."
Rivian's record for QUARTERLY deliveries in total (R1T + R1S + delivery van I believe) was 15,564 for Q3 2023...so they can manage just above 5,000 per month as of now.
I think any other electric trucks (hummer, etc.) are still in the dozens per quarter range.
Tesla's stated target of ~250,000 cybertrucks per year is way above any targets I've heard from Ford or Rivian, and would eventually put Cybertrucks at about 5,000 per week, or ~20,000 per month (a factor of 4 higher than the other guys are currently). I'm having memories of how the Chevy Bolt "beat" the Model 3 to market, but Chevy could not or would not target big production numbers, so eventually the Model 3 totally outpaced it.