Last year was most definitely not a normal year when it came to the car market - I most definitely would not assume things to continue holding in even a similar fashion.
As for how much you can get today, historically, companies that buy used cars (including car dealers) are known for quoting an overoptimistic price with an asterisk then quoting you something completely different when the time comes to close the deal. The only thing that matters is how much the check is made out for when you walk out the door.
Regardless, if the market is normalizing it's a good thing - it means supply is catching up with demand and that means lower prices for everyone.