Tracking short interest

[mershaw2001]

Unfortunately we won't get an official update on short positions after this move until the release on July 10th which will show total shorts as of end of trading days on Wed June 25th (Settlement for June 30th).

The next short release by NASDAQ is a week from today (June 24th) will show total short positions from before this break out, as of end of trading on June 10th.

Short interest drops to 24,619,265

 

[DaveT]

Short interest drops to 24,619,265

Thanks for posting. Here's a chart with full info compared with past weeks.

Short interest as of 6/13/14 (settled date) was published today (Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Short Interest - NASDAQ.com). Since it takes 3 business days to settle, the 6/13/14 settled date is reflective of short interest as the end of trading on 6/10/14.

So as of 6/10/14, 24.62m out of 85.94m shares of the float were short OR 28.6% of the float was short.

Settlement Date	Short Interest	Avg Daily Share Volume	Days To Cover	Stock price (3 days before settlement date)
6/13/2014	24,619,265	3,894,906	6.320888	202.30
5/30/2014	25,231,640	5,070,417	4.976246	211.56
5/15/2014	25,122,795	7,692,605	3.265837	184.67
4/30/2014	26,749,068	6,528,782	4.097099	199.85
4/15/2014	25,075,345	9,091,558	2.758091	204.19
3/31/2014	25,775,939	7,541,558	3.417853	212.96
3/14/2014	28,660,129	8,391,269	3.415470	234.41
2/28/2014	31,295,800	16,678,472	1.876419	248.00
2/14/2014	28,923,212	7,684,592	3.763793	196.62
1/31/2014	29,639,877	8,094,761	3.661612	178.38
1/15/2014	31,312,745	9,460,222	3.309938	145.72
12/31/2013	31,648,868	7,752,710	4.082297	155.50
12/13/2013	30,343,842	11,309,668	2.683000	142.19
11/29/2013	29,155,653	14,276,160	2.042262	120.84
11/15/2013	25,390,455	16,974,121	1.495833	137.80

 

[TSLAopt]

Short interest drops to 24,619,265

the drop is almost negligible in my opinion,

I expect there to be a more significant move up or down on the next reporting date in early July which will show short positions as of end of day Tomorrow! Exciting! Just sucks we have to wait until Thursday July 10th to get it.

my hope is that short interest moved higher but my intuition tells me it may be significantly lower as this recent run up may have been partly caused by a mini short squeeze of a few million shares over the past 1-2 weeks

 

[Auzie]

the drop is almost negligible in my opinion,

I expect there to be a more significant move up or down on the next reporting date in early July which will show short positions as of end of day Tomorrow! Exciting! Just sucks we have to wait until Thursday July 10th to get it.

my hope is that short interest moved higher but my intuition tells me it may be significantly lower as this recent run up may have been partly caused by a mini short squeeze of a few million shares over the past 1-2 weeks

TSLA is like a electric bug zapper for shorts. New ones keep coming after each run up.:biggrin:

 

[kenliles]

TSLA is like a electric bug zapper for shorts. New ones keep coming after each run up.:biggrin:

perfect analogy LOL

 

[DaveT]

TSLA short interest was reported a couple days ago for settlement date of June 30, 2014. Short interest was at 24,294,698, which is roughly the same as the previous report.

 

[TSLAopt]

TSLA short interest was reported a couple days ago for settlement date of June 30, 2014. Short interest was at 24,294,698, which is roughly the same as the previous report.

Surprising to me...goes to show that I really can't predict which direction short interest is going. I can only hope it continues to remain high...if it goes below 20mm anytime in the next year or so then I might get concerned.

 

[DaveT]

Surprising to me...goes to show that I really can't predict which direction short interest is going. I can only hope it continues to remain high...if it goes below 20mm anytime in the next year or so then I might get concerned.

Yeah, it's really difficult to predict short interest. I'm also glad it remains high. Shows there's still a lot of shorts to squeeze.

 

[DaveT]

Short interest for 7/15/14 settlement date was reported today. Short interest was at 24,143,052 shares... roughly the same as it was the previous period.

 

[EarlyAdopter]

It amazes me people persist in holding their short position (or equal number of new shorts come in to replace old ones). I can understand shorting Tesla years ago when everything was uncertain and they weren't yet a self sustaining, viable business. But now? I just don't get it. Oh well, not going to complain. It provides a nice in-built explosive upside every time more good news comes out.

 

[DaveT]

It amazes me people persist in holding their short position (or equal number of new shorts come in to replace old ones). I can understand shorting Tesla years ago when everything was uncertain and they weren't yet a self sustaining, viable business. But now? I just don't get it. Oh well, not going to complain. It provides a nice in-built explosive upside every time more good news comes out.

See possible explanation here, Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2013 - Page 610

 

[DaveT]

TSLA short interest for 7/31/14 settlement date was reported today. 24,128,803 shares short, 4,294,376 avg daily share volume, 5.618698 days to cover.

Short interest remains relatively unchanged from previous reporting date.

 

[Chickenlittle]

TSLA short interest for 7/31/14 settlement date was reported today. 24,128,803 shares short, 4,294,376 avg daily share volume, 5.618698 days to cover.

Short interest remains relatively unchanged from previous reporting date.

may start to increase with price action like today

 

[Johan]

may start to increase with price action like today

...or perhaps we are going to see a transformation where the sum of all things is that shorts now actually give up and close their shorts for good being replaced by long investors. This is inevitable to happen sooner or later and I think we are seeing how the debate is now much more converging on the (great) future of Tesla and less on if Tesla will surive and on if the current price is justified.

 

[DaveT]

Short interest for 8/15/14 settlement date was published today. Short interest at 22,555,047, average daily share volume 6,774,265, days to cover 3.329519 .

 

[chickensevil]

I guess I somehow never noticed this thread, so my post was probably more appropriate here instead of the short term thread. Although, I got the dates a little mixed up in my analysis. Since I forgot to account for the 3 day settlement in the information. So it should be information on the 12th right? Which would be slightly less significant, but still that week was a really great week for Tesla overall.

Seems like short interest is still going down, at least as of 8/15/14
View attachment 57699

Of note, the 15th was the record setting high at closing price of 262.01$ (at least until last monday when we set a new closing ATH). I would not at all be surprised if this turns around based on the strong sell off all last week. But this is a new low for 2014 on the number of shorted shares.

At the very least, it would seem that the price is pretty solid, people seem to have given up their crusade (at least for now) on driving the price down, which is another pretty solid indicator that we are sitting at a decent "fair value". Note that the very small price decline last week was another solid indicator. At least that is what I can tell from reading the price movements.

 

[ggr]

I guess I somehow never noticed this thread, so my post was probably more appropriate here instead of the short term thread. Although, I got the dates a little mixed up in my analysis. Since I forgot to account for the 3 day settlement in the information. So it should be information on the 12th right? Which would be slightly less significant, but still that week was a really great week for Tesla overall.

I sometimes wonder which is more important, number of shares short, or number of dollars. The former has the most influence on "short squeeze" situations, but the latter is a wider measure of what the market as a whole seems to think. Then, of course volume (represented by "days to cover" also comes into it.

 

[chickensevil]

I put together a new chart in the interest of someone in the Short Term Price thread, so here it is, and because of compiling all this data (you know how hard it is to find this information without paying money for it once you go beyond what the NASDAQ tracks for you? Man that was annoying) I will probably put together some other charts as well. Just haven't had the chance yet. But as you see I now have all data going back to April 2012, which should be more than enough, as well as the average share volume and days to cover and stock price (3 days prior). If there are other values I should collect and chart please feel free to ask. But for now, here you go.

 

[adiggs]

...If there are other values I should collect and chart please feel free to ask. But for now, here you go.

I'd be curious to see the dollar value of the short interest plotted over time. Where the share count is sort of up and down, I think the dollar value of the short interest is skyrocketing. I'm thinking that dollar value of short interest is shares of stock short * closing stock price on the day we know the # of shares short.

Heck - maybe providing that chart will scare people that are short, and initiate the next short squeeze!

EDIT: double post

 

[chickensevil]

So I charted them on top of each other with the left still being the number of shares and the right being the price * shares to come up with a short value (if there is some other metric to use for price, I just took the stock price 3 days before settlement date) You can really see though the the recent drop in shares shorted has actually had a dramatic affect on the dollar power of the shorts.

- - - Updated - - -

Crap, I just realized I am missing data, this is just June... :redface:

Let me fix this.