TSLA Investor Discussions

[excellentcn]

you may say 1,200,000 bought in 10 minutes hehe

1.200.000 sold in 10 minutes!

 

[aznt1217]

man what an odd day.

 

[FredTMC]

man what an odd day.

Totally. I expected volatility today with the option puts in the news this week. Nice price improvement over the last few days, though. I'd like to see a run up over the next few weeks as we head towards Feb 11th. Regardless, I'm a long term investor.

 

[kenliles]

man what an odd day.

not looking good for all those $32 shorts that bought for today's expiration

 

[Thumper]

It's hard to imagine that the huge volume in 10 min. was a lot of small trades. I'd love to know who bought and who sold and the actual trade sizes.
Ya gotta wonder!

 

[Discoducky]

So any idea on how much or how many shorts lost out today? Is there a way to find out?

 

[The Froq]

I don't know how this works, but the buyer and the seller must have had a deal before they offered the shares.

 

[aznt1217]

Something could have tripped a breaker. Maybe a short wanted to cover. Perhaps they will let them expire worthless. Who knows.

 

[FredTMC]

Nice pop into positive territory in the final hour.

 

[The Froq]

Something about to happen!

 

[aznt1217]

don't get too excited. Little swing to positive was just covering, then selling as they will not hold positions over the weekend.

 

[Norbert]

Closing with $34.52. So the puts who were gambling on at least as low as $31.50 by this Friday, lost their game.

 

[brian45011]

Today's Volume

man what an odd day.

The conference call after the Rawlinson departure was a year ago. It could be those with the foresight to buy on that dip are reaping LTCGs.

 

[avatar]

Anyone care to venture a guess on whats up with the trade volume. We are at 3 times daily average. Something's cooking.

 

[Zzzz...]

Anyone care to venture a guess on whats up with the trade volume. We are at 3 times daily average. Something's cooking.

Tons of options expired/had to be covered/closed today. Just like today you can trade options for January 17, 2015, options that were closing today were traded for couple years.

 

[agelston]

I got back into Tesla today. Feb 37 calls. Just FYI.

next target is 36.45. Should be resistance pre earnings.

I expect it to touch the mid 36s in the next two weeks. Plan on selling the feb 36 strike calls into strength pre earnings, short spread for February.

then use the proceeds to buy tons of march 40 strikes on weakness pre earnings.

Hedged with tons of upside if they beat expectations and the stock runs. Should work even if they 'miss', stock pulls back for a few days (feb short spread expires) then runs as the reality sinks in, Tesla is here to stay and will be a very valuable company.

 

[kenliles]

I got back into Tesla today. Feb 37 calls. Just FYI.

next target is 36.45. Should be resistance pre earnings.

I expect it to touch the mid 36s in the next two weeks. Plan on selling the feb 36 strike calls into strength pre earnings, short spread for February.

then use the proceeds to buy tons of march 40 strikes on weakness pre earnings.

Hedged with tons of upside if they beat expectations and the stock runs. Should work even if they 'miss', stock pulls back for a few days (feb short spread expires) then runs as the reality sinks in, Tesla is here to stay and will be a very valuable company.

So you expect run to mid 36, then a pull back into earnings for the 40strike buy? Pretty tight call of events, no? From previous behavior, I think there might be significant short stops at 36. If so and it breaks thru that, may not pull back before earnings but instead squeeze higher right into them. If so, you might be better off just buying the march 40s now.

 

[CapitalistOppressor]

Totally. I expected volatility today with the option puts in the news this week. Nice price improvement over the last few days, though. I'd like to see a run up over the next few weeks as we head towards Feb 11th. Regardless, I'm a long term investor.

I'm a long term TSLA investor as well, and normally I keep a light hand on my stocks. But since mid December I've been extremely active in riding herd on the stock because of external factors have have me concerned (i.e. Debt Limit negotiations). And especially since I came back into the stock at the end of December, I've been doing some active profit taking where normally I'd just ignore the ups and downs.

Mostly, I expect to actively manage the stock until the conference call with the expectation that there will be excellent selling opportunities after that if the Debt Ceiling negotiations go bad. Right now, the Republican establishment looks close to collapse, but the leadership is extremely weak in the House and it still seems possible that they wont allow a clean vote. Until I know where thats going, I'm gonna keep playing momma bird with my shares.

 

[Zzzz...]

JP Morgan estimates that Tesla sold 3,400 units in 2012, its first year of production

That is more then 3250 upper estimate announced by TM few months ago.
Interesting that projection for 2013 and 2014 are on low end, only 18,500 and 22,500 units respectively.

Nissan Brings More Electric Vehicle Component Production to U.S. | Benzinga

PS. Not sure when JP made those estimates.

 

[NigelM]

PS. Not sure when JP made those estimates.

That's JP Morgan and not John Petersen (just for clarity).