Doubt it. They will repeat the past and roll out what some will consider very dangerous stuff and put the onus on the driver as usual.
I understand what you’re saying, but think this paints things in too negative a light.
It’s possible that Teslas have saved lives overall (nothing really to do with AP). No one really knows, and unfortunately Tesla hasn’t provided statistics. But in total, taking into account all factors, it is possible. Background active safety measures are effective.
People will die, but it will be their fault because they were not attentive. Imagine when traffic light detection is 99.9% accurate. That means on average each person will crash once every 3 years. Who is going to pay attention when it is that accurate or even worse, 99.99% accurate?
That’s nowhere near good enough, obviously. Great for a background system but not good for anything else.
Once they get to six 9s, they will release the feature because it is better than humans and will likely save more lives than it might cost.
Gotta be a little careful about this. It’s all very well to get to 6 9’s overall (and that’s going to be really difficult!), but there may be specific situations where failure rate might be as high as 10% even though overall you have 6 9’s. It’s possible. It’s also totally unacceptable, even if you can validly argue that you are saving lives. I know that’s the argument. But it’s these corner cases where the system doesn’t work well at all that are tricky. Monitoring isn’t really good enough. Remember, the damage is done at that point.
Tesla will ensure they are a responsible member of the community and everything they do improves safety without violating community trust. Trust and safety are paramount.
Again, there is NO NECESSITY to roll out FSD. Massive improvements in safety are possible with more capable hardware and a data-driven, continuously improving system. They can stuff all this active safety stuff in the background and keep drivers responsible for driving for as long as necessary. Owners with FSD will still be benefiting for the years it takes to get to actual FSD (if it is even possible!), and there is no loss of trust with the wider community.
Is it as sexy as true FSD? Maybe not. But it’s continuous safety improvement and continues to achieve Tesla’s goal. Make the cars really good. Don’t pursue perfection - just make cars safer.
There’s no rush - if someone actually “solves” the FSD problem it’ll be reasonably straightforward to duplicate it. That’s the advantage of being second. And in the meantime you can be making awesome cars that get safer and cleaner every day.