Just bear in mind that your 'informed guess' is already based on someone else's 'informed guess' with regards to the reworked photoshop of a door design versus a year(s) old prototype photo, one or both of which could easily have been computer generated. It's tough to remain objective when we soooo want these things to match our fantasies.
I am merely explaining my thinking behind the speculation I'm offering. It is not a confirmed fact, it is a guess based on this reasoning, based on - obviously - a lot of hearsay as well as posted official and unofficial data, photos, video. That's always the case with product leaks. Perhaps informed guess is not the best word, but again English is not my first language. I'm sure you get the intent. Of course it is possible the source of the speculation is fantasy, but that's why it is a process where a lot of things are considered and thrown around. Discussion forums help hash things out.
Why would I want to fantasize anything about the Model X? I think analyzing these sources and information bits is a productive way of waiting, as far as a Model X forum goes. The fun comes from trying to be accurate, not painting a pretty picture. I am considering the tidbits we have with my eyes wide open. This is not the first technology product in the history of man to be speculated about and it won't be the last. It is a process and there will be hits and misses. Healthy debate helps hash those out.
As you say, in this case the source of the nose cone removal also had a drawing that Tesla demanded removed from TMC. That gives it some credibility. Add to this the musings heard from the factory that the new Model X revisions look much better. All these sources may be completely false, but I think it is enough to consider. Maybe Tesla had the picture from TMC removed just to mess with us or just in case. Or maybe the source had some things right and others wrong, all this is possible of course.
The streamlined falcon wings came from Tesla themselves. Or are you suggesting a false image was circulated in email? Sure, it could be a false PR drawing and not the end-product, but again enough to consider. I checked the original JPG with Photoshop myself, the parallel image matches when Levels are adjusted in Photoshop - the doors are obviously a new design, not seen properly in public (thus a reason to camo them on a beta vehicle). Again, of course it is possible a false image is being circulated in the first place, but I'm not sure how likely that is.
I would love to hear if you think nose cone will be gone from Model X or if the falcon wings are there and are streamlined, and why you think so. You probably have your own informed guess. I would personally find that contribution very welcome - calling it fantasy seems unnecessarily dismissive to me. In my humble opinion, more constructive would be to say which part one finds unlikely or false, and why, than to put it under doubt with simply a blanket statement. Just my opinion.
Personally, I think it is 90% likely the falcon wings are in production Model X in a streamlined form. I think it is maybe 30% likely the nose cone is gone entirely.
We will see in due time if Model X appears without a nose cone and with streamlined falcon wings, of course. So not to worry. This will all go into a bit more context then.
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Can't agree more ... statements like 'previously alleged leaks' makes it sound like there was some potentially credible source. But was there? Same thing with all the speculation about battery size. At this point people (for the most part) have forgotten that the source of THAT rumor was wishful thinking of some forum members.
I'm good with all the speculation and fun in Fantasy Land. It's better than the touchiness and snippiness and short tempers that will be evident when deliveries are close or have started (if anything like Model S rollout).
My only concern is that there have been instances where the forum has wound stuff up to the point that there is massive disappointment when the fantasies are not true & there is no one to blame but ourselves. Yet we try to blame Tesla.
Just something to keep in mind.
If Tesla feels lack of information is hurting them, they are big girls and boys there, they can fix it by offering some or being more clear about it.
Just to clarify the two issues that were called fantasy land:
The source for the nose cone was one that Tesla silenced themselves, according to TMC moderators, via a picture removal request. Now, that alone doesn't prove the nose cone is gone, but it is easier to assume there was something there as opposed to just any anonymous poster.
The streamlines falcon wings came from Tesla themselves. I don't see how they could blame anyone but themselves for that piece of "fantasy".
