TMC is an independent, primarily volunteer organization that relies on ad revenue to cover its operating costs. Please consider whitelisting TMC on your ad blocker and becoming a Supporting Member. For more info: Support TMC
Start a Discussionhttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/tags/

Who will be the first non-Tesla owner to take delivery?

Discussion in 'Model 3' started by Randy Spencer, Jul 30, 2017.

Tags:
?

First delivery estimate for Bay Area line-waiters who don't already own a Tesla

  1. September 2017

    6.3%
  2. October 2017

    18.8%
  3. November 2017

    42.2%
  4. December 2017

    18.8%
  5. January 2018

    4.7%
  6. February 2018

    3.1%
  7. March 2018 and beyond (hopefully no one)

    6.3%
  1. Randy Spencer

    Randy Spencer Member

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2016
    Messages:
    206
    Location:
    Alameda, CA
    Looking at the Delivery Estimator for my first-in-line reservation on 3/31/16, and living 20 minutes from the factory (along with millions of others) my estimate for First Production says I can expect delivery in the Nov. 2017-Jan. 2018 range.

    Screen Shot 2017-07-30 at 12.35.24 PM.png

    Where is everyone else who waited in line?

    -Randy
     
    • Informative x 1
  2. boaterva

    boaterva Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2016
    Messages:
    2,907
    Location:
    Northern Virginia, USA
    Whoever it is, can we start a GoFundMe for a GoPro? :D
     
  3. racpuc

    racpuc Member

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2016
    Messages:
    24
    Location:
    SF, CA
    I have oct-dec 2017. MS owner, non-employee. Waited in line and was able to reserve around 10:30am
     
  4. Randy Spencer

    Randy Spencer Member

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2016
    Messages:
    206
    Location:
    Alameda, CA
    OK, but this thread was really trying to compare apples to apples, so NON-owners. I wonder now if it was current Tesla owners who indicated they expected delivery in September and October above.

    I was really trying to find out if others in the same boat as me had different estimated delivery dates, so looking for:

    Not a current Tesla owner or employee
    Live in the Bay Area
    Got reservations before they were available online

    Check your delivery estimator and vote the results in the poll above

    Thanks

    -Randy
     
    • Like x 1
  5. ItsNotAboutTheMoney

    ItsNotAboutTheMoney Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 12, 2012
    Messages:
    5,813
    Location:
    Maine
    I voted March 2017 and beyond. I'm 100% certain of it. :D
     
    • Funny x 2
  6. mrongey

    mrongey Member

    Joined:
    Dec 31, 2015
    Messages:
    69
    Location:
    Lehi, UT
    Interesting. I have the same estimate and I waited in line in Utah. This might help confirm my theory that they will be producing more than they deliver and deliver a ton at the beginning of January.

    Edit: Also non-owner.
     
    • Like x 1
  7. RedModel3

    RedModel3 Member

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2016
    Messages:
    46
    Location:
    United States
    Wow, I got the same date, and I'm a non-owner in Tennessee.
     
  8. N5329K

    N5329K Member

    Joined:
    Aug 12, 2009
    Messages:
    831
    Location:
    California
    March/May 2018, non-owner, early April 1 post-reveal online reservation, 80 miles from the factory on the California central coast.
    Robin
     
  9. Garlan Garner

    Garlan Garner Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2016
    Messages:
    5,977
    Location:
    Chicagoland
    That's what mine says and I live in Chicago. LOL

    reservation2.jpg
     
  10. WileyTheMan

    WileyTheMan Member

    Joined:
    Apr 20, 2016
    Messages:
    434
    Location:
    Los Gatos, CA
    I was around #200 waiting in line at the Tesla service center in Sunnyvale; reserved around 11 a.m. Mine says Nov-Jan.
     
  11. mond81

    mond81 Member

    Joined:
    Mar 25, 2016
    Messages:
    29
    Location:
    Los Angeles, CA
    I have Oct-Dec 2017. Non-owner, in SoCal, reserved at 3AM on the 31st because I was in Europe 7 hours ahead of CA when I went to the local store at 10AM.
     
    • Like x 2
  12. TEG

    TEG TMC Moderator

    Joined:
    Aug 20, 2006
    Messages:
    18,444
    That is interesting. I think you are the first non-owner that I have heard about that got October instead of November.
     
  13. Randy Spencer

    Randy Spencer Member

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2016
    Messages:
    206
    Location:
    Alameda, CA
    Yeah, that's clever. I should have waited in line in Australia! What was I thinking??

    -Randy
     
    • Funny x 2
  14. mond81

    mond81 Member

    Joined:
    Mar 25, 2016
    Messages:
    29
    Location:
    Los Angeles, CA
    Actually I double checked and it was 1AM so 9 hours not 7 (I forgot which way DST moved). My e-mail confirmation for the rez came at 1:18AM California time. It was by coincidence I was out there and happened to be near a store that I could get to easily...so I went and did it. Unfortunately I don't think I can afford the long range so I won't get it until the second batch anyway. But if I were going for long range yes I would likely be one of the first non-owners, I think.
     
  15. racpuc

    racpuc Member

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2016
    Messages:
    24
    Location:
    SF, CA
    My friend, non tesla owner, online asap, nov-jan
     
  16. codex57

    codex57 Member

    Joined:
    Aug 1, 2017
    Messages:
    412
    Location:
    NorCal
    Same time frame. Near Sacramento. Non-owner. Reserved around 11am ?(probably about 250 people ahead of me).
     
  17. BluestarE3

    BluestarE3 Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2016
    Messages:
    2,713
    Location:
    Norcal
    Au contraire, most definitely everyone.
     
    • Like x 1
    • Funny x 1
  18. Troy

    Troy Active Member

    Joined:
    Aug 24, 2015
    Messages:
    1,117
    Location:
    #18 Troy, Aug 2, 2017
    Last edited: Aug 2, 2017
    Hi, @Randy Spencer. My calculations show the following data for first non-owner Model 3s in California:
    • Production start 1 Nov 2017
    • Production end 5 Nov 2017
    • Delivery 10 Nov 2017

    Also, the data for the first non-employee cars looks like this:
    • Production start 13 Oct 2017
    • Production end 17 Oct 2017
    • Delivery 22 Oct 2017

    In other words, owner deliveries in California will continue from 22 Oct to 10 Nov 2017 based on my calculation. The 22 Oct 2017 date for first non-employee deliveries matches Tesla's "Late October 2017" statement on the presskit page. The reason it matches is not that I have copied what they said. My calculations were already pretty close before 28 July. I was off by 10 days.
     
  19. Mikeysb

    Mikeysb Member

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2017
    Messages:
    21
    Location:
    Bronx, New York
    I ordered in April/2016, no idea what my number is and was quoted mar- June 2018 and I live in NJ
     
  20. Randy Spencer

    Randy Spencer Member

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2016
    Messages:
    206
    Location:
    Alameda, CA
    Who are all these people saying that they are non-owners but have reservations in October then? It's up to 7 now. What's their secret?

    -Randy
     

Share This Page