TMC is an independent, primarily volunteer organization that relies on ad revenue to cover its operating costs. Please consider whitelisting TMC on your ad blocker and becoming a Supporting Member. For more info: Support TMC
Start a Discussionhttps://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/tags/

2 years: Musk's new timeline for door-to-door full autonomy

Discussion in 'Model S' started by calisnow, Apr 28, 2017.

  1. calisnow

    calisnow Active Member

    Joined:
    Oct 11, 2014
    Messages:
    2,565
    Location:
    Los Angeles
    Take this for what you will - he tweeted today that we are still 2 years from sleeping door to door. That's my definition of level 5 and a Tesla network of autonomous robo taxis.

    So at this point the logical extrapolation from Musk's claims is:

    1 - Teslas since October 2016 builds will do Level 5. This is due to his Tesla Network claim.

    2 - Cameras are all that is needed.

    3 - A board swap is possible if needed later.

    4 - Tesla has a long software road ahead.

    Interestingly he repeated the claim that an autonomous Tesla will go NYC to LA in 2017.
     
    • Informative x 3
    • Funny x 1
  2. croman

    croman Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 21, 2016
    Messages:
    1,542
    Location:
    Chicago, IL
    I don't see this tweet?
     
  3. S4WRXTTCS

    S4WRXTTCS Active Member

    Joined:
    May 3, 2015
    Messages:
    1,913
    Location:
    Snohomish, WA
    I'm not seeing it.
     
  4. Tam

    Tam Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2012
    Messages:
    2,718
    Location:
    Visalia, CA
  5. S4WRXTTCS

    S4WRXTTCS Active Member

    Joined:
    May 3, 2015
    Messages:
    1,913
    Location:
    Snohomish, WA
    What he didn't say is it's going to be rolled out first at 28mph, and then over time it will get faster.

    At 28mph I should be able to get from my house to Portland in about 8 hours so that's perfect. :p
     
    • Funny x 8
  6. f-stop

    f-stop Member

    Joined:
    Jul 31, 2015
    Messages:
    920
    Location:
    Vancouver BC, Canada
    #6 f-stop, Apr 28, 2017
    Last edited: Apr 28, 2017
    I didn't see the abovementioned tweets, but...
    Elon was a speaker at TED Talks today in Vancouver, I was able to watch a live stream of the session this morning at the public library. It was a 1/2hr interview/discussion with the TED host. They were talking about autonomous driving, among other things... he showed part of that sped-up video we've all seen already with a Model S driving itself, and the host asked something about when we'd be able to take hands off the wheel and sleep, or something along those lines - that's where Elon mentioned it being 2 yrs away, and he added that within this year a Tesla would be able to drive autonomously from a parking lot in LA to a parking lot in NYC. btw I posted a few other tidbits from the talk over in the Elon Musk thread.

    [edit]
    p.s. in talking about being able to drive autonomously from LA to NYC, Elon emphasized that by that he didn't mean it would only be on a pre-planned or canned route - he claimed the route could be dynamically changed, for example depart from LA towards NY, and then enroute change the destination to Toronto. And btw, although he didn't say so explicitly, I took this all to mean Tesla would be able to demonstrate the ability to do this within 2017, not that the capability would be available to customers in this time (I think that's where the "2 years" comes in). But he seemed quite confident on 2017.
     
    • Informative x 13
    • Like x 2
  7. calisnow

    calisnow Active Member

    Joined:
    Oct 11, 2014
    Messages:
    2,565
    Location:
    Los Angeles
    Oy. I should've linked to the source. I swear I saw an article with these tweets. "two years" was, I thought I read, a tweeted reply by Musk to a tweeted question.
     
  8. alapd

    alapd Member

    Joined:
    Dec 14, 2016
    Messages:
    111
    Location:
    North NJ
    So let's extrapolate this out....

    1) you thought wrong
     
    • Funny x 4
  9. Tam

    Tam Active Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2012
    Messages:
    2,718
    Location:
    Visalia, CA
    • Informative x 1
    • Funny x 1
  10. calisnow

    calisnow Active Member

    Joined:
    Oct 11, 2014
    Messages:
    2,565
    Location:
    Los Angeles
  11. f-stop

    f-stop Member

    Joined:
    Jul 31, 2015
    Messages:
    920
    Location:
    Vancouver BC, Canada
    @calisnow here you go... maybe you saw someone like this guy who was live tweeting things going on at TED, he quoted the discussion I mentioned above (you weren't imagining things, just wasn't Elon who tweeted it)

    Twitter
     
    • Informative x 1
  12. calisnow

    calisnow Active Member

    Joined:
    Oct 11, 2014
    Messages:
    2,565
    Location:
    Los Angeles
    Ahhh maybe that was it. Thanks.
     
    • Like x 3
  13. whitex

    whitex Active Member

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2015
    Messages:
    1,628
    Location:
    Seattle area, WA
    Door to door? I can totally see it. Just like my AP1 car meets me at the curb, as long as the curb is directly in front of the garage door parallel to the driveway (many Tesla fansboys argue that satisfies the "meet you at the curb on private property" ), I can see AP2 driving doot-to-door, as long as the 2 doors are along the same street, no intersections, and less than 60s away so that the hold-the-wheel nag doesn't disable the car. I can totally see that, *yawn*. :p
     
    • Funny x 11
    • Like x 3
  14. Sir Guacamolaf

    Sir Guacamolaf The good kind of fat

    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2016
    Messages:
    1,023
    Location:
    My Model S
    Musk says in 2 years you could sleep door to door, and the car will drive you.
    I hear that as 6 years from now.

    .. which is still pretty impressive .. and if it happens, i.e. I can actually close my eyes and the car takes me from door to door, I'll buy my second Tesla.
     
    • Like x 6
  15. oktane

    oktane Active Member

    Joined:
    Oct 25, 2016
    Messages:
    1,431
    Location:
    USA
    Sometimes people are so engrossed in a fantasy that they begin to actually believe their own bullshit. Too bad no one asked Elon when AP2 will drive like a sober person.
     
    • Funny x 7
    • Like x 4
  16. stopcrazypp

    stopcrazypp Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Dec 8, 2007
    Messages:
    9,184
    For one, this should dispel the notion by some that somehow Tesla had promised FSD level 5 driving would be released this year.

    The LA to NYC demo will happen this year, but that's just a demo, not release to customers.
     
    • Like x 3
  17. Sir Guacamolaf

    Sir Guacamolaf The good kind of fat

    Joined:
    Mar 15, 2016
    Messages:
    1,023
    Location:
    My Model S
    Well, let me tell you about Autopilot. Everyone keeps asking me about FSD. People love my autopilot. I make the best autopilot. And we will have LA to NY FSD by end of this year. It will be great, the best drive ever, and FORD will pay for it. Tesla owners keep saying to me “We need autopilot!” and I say I hear you! I am the best autopilot maker ever and we WILL have autopilot! And you will love this pilot, bigly!. People want autopilot and everybody knows what's happening and believe me, we have the best autopilot ever!
     
    • Funny x 34
    • Like x 4
  18. boaterva

    boaterva Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2016
    Messages:
    2,694
    Location:
    Northern Virginia, USA
    Change that to 'big league', and it's gold, Jerry, gold! :)
     
  19. alevek

    alevek Member

    Joined:
    Mar 11, 2016
    Messages:
    129
    Location:
    Jupiter, Fl
    I can't believe anybody actually would believe this.....
     
  20. Matias

    Matias Active Member

    Joined:
    Apr 2, 2014
    Messages:
    2,031
    Location:
    Finland
    Is there online video about this TED interview?
     

Share This Page