TrendTrader007
Active Member
short squeeze is happening and about to get a whole lot worseAre people still doubting my short squeeze call?
I agree with you
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short squeeze is happening and about to get a whole lot worseAre people still doubting my short squeeze call?
I think that almost everybody is underestimating the difficulty of the situation that Tesla's competitors are in. Even if they were able to kick R&D into overdrive, and design car that was unquestionably better than Tesla, for a better price, it would put huge strain on their existing business. Who is going to buy a 3 series BMW if BMW has a new electric model 3 killer that is vastly superior to both cars? There is no way that they could hit the ground running with manufacturing capacity to match their current ICE capacity, and if they release supper compelling electric cars at low availability, it will kill their existing bread and butter lines of business. If they were to invest hugely in electric vehicle manufacturing prior to releasing the first model, then it were to flop, that would be a huge financial blow too, and would be too risky.
I think they will continue to stumble along with lots of press releases, and half hearted efforts, with their biggest hope being that Tesla will die suddenly from a self inflicted wound (Unfortunately a possibility). They will be more aggressive in markets where they currently do not do a lot of profitable business. For instance, Chevy will try to go after ride sharing with the Bolt, but I would be very surprised if they came out will a super compelling 3/4 ton pickup truck that Osborned the Silverado.
Also, I think Tesla has real lasting advantages in the software side of things, in comparison to every other car company, and I think that lead is more likely to grow over time, than shrink. From a recruiting standpoint, Tesla seems SO much sexier for a young software genius than going to work for Ford. The real deal, saving the planet company mission, allows them to get away with working those geniuses much harder too.
Since you said you were leveraged to the hilt at $380+ you must have had some epic margin calls over the past couple of weeks. How's that working out? I've been avoiding margin so my daily swings stay under $1M.as far as margin is concerned
I totally love it
I make or lose more in a day than average non margined conservative investors do in 10 years
all due to being extremely leveraged
i'm a huge fan of margin
I always tend to be extremely optimistic/ delusional wishful thinking on these things, but here is my 2 cents on the production delays.
My guess is that they are 4-6 weeks behind where they hoped to be at this point in terms of daily production rate. The good news is that the S curve is not some fixed path that has to be followed. It is just a way to visualize the process of working through a bunch of rate limiting steps that keep cropping up as you accelerate the speed of production. My hope is that they have one or two big problems that are killing them at the moment. Such as, a set of robots aren't working out and they had to design new ones and have them made (Hypothetical). Obviously this would take engineering time, production, shipping, installation, programing time, and could only be done so fast. Hopefully, while this is going on they are able to run all the rest of the line at high speed, even if it is only a couple cars a day, and identify and fix the myriad other problems that would be keeping them from moving from 300 cars a week to 500 cars a week, even if they were totally on schedule. In this wishful scenario, they are currently 4-6 weeks behind schedule, but once they get the big issues fixed, there might be a nice vertical gap up in the S curve that gets them largely back on schedule.
I think that almost everybody is underestimating the difficulty of the situation that Tesla's competitors are in. Even if they were able to kick R&D into overdrive, and design car that was unquestionably better than Tesla, for a better price, it would put huge strain on their existing business. Who is going to buy a 3 series BMW if BMW has a new electric model 3 killer that is vastly superior to both cars? There is no way that they could hit the ground running with manufacturing capacity to match their current ICE capacity, and if they release supper compelling electric cars at low availability, it will kill their existing bread and butter lines of business. If they were to invest hugely in electric vehicle manufacturing prior to releasing the first model, then it were to flop, that would be a huge financial blow too, and would be too risky.
I think they will continue to stumble along with lots of press releases, and half hearted efforts, with their biggest hope being that Tesla will die suddenly from a self inflicted wound (Unfortunately a possibility). They will be more aggressive in markets where they currently do not do a lot of profitable business. For instance, Chevy will try to go after ride sharing with the Bolt, but I would be very surprised if they came out will a super compelling 3/4 ton pickup truck that Osborned the Silverado.
Also, I think Tesla has real lasting advantages in the software side of things, in comparison to every other car company, and I think that lead is more likely to grow over time, than shrink. From a recruiting standpoint, Tesla seems SO much sexier for a young software genius than going to work for Ford. The real deal, saving the planet company mission, allows them to get away with working those geniuses much harder too.
So far it looks like a nice bounce off the triangle support line. The thing is that I believe that TSLA is at or very close to the resolution point. Ii either breaks down or breaks out of the triangle, which is essentially a manifestation of polarized opinions on TSLA. If TSL:A can break through ~$346, the break out take #2 will be in the cards.
EDIT: Yielding to the few unforgiving members here (you know who you are!) fixed my 2s into 3s.
View attachment 251482
$346... $346... $**6... it went from $336 to $346... that is exactly what I've been saying.So,. Now that your pin number isn't anywhere near the price, any thoughts on why your semi random number didn't matter except for a short snapshot in time?
$346... $346... $**6... it went from $336 to $346... that is exactly what I've been saying.
That's fitting for production hell....Given that digits are from 0-9, chances of hitting 6 is 10%
I am all ears for $666
I think that almost everybody is underestimating the difficulty of the situation that Tesla's competitors are in. Even if they were able to kick R&D into overdrive, and design car that was unquestionably better than Tesla, for a better price, it would put huge strain on their existing business. Who is going to buy a 3 series BMW if BMW has a new electric model 3 killer that is vastly superior to both cars? There is no way that they could hit the ground running with manufacturing capacity to match their current ICE capacity, and if they release supper compelling electric cars at low availability, it will kill their existing bread and butter lines of business. If they were to invest hugely in electric vehicle manufacturing prior to releasing the first model, then it were to flop, that would be a huge financial blow too, and would be too risky.
I think they will continue to stumble along with lots of press releases, and half hearted efforts, with their biggest hope being that Tesla will die suddenly from a self inflicted wound (Unfortunately a possibility). They will be more aggressive in markets where they currently do not do a lot of profitable business. For instance, Chevy will try to go after ride sharing with the Bolt, but I would be very surprised if they came out will a super compelling 3/4 ton pickup truck that Osborned the Silverado.
Also, I think Tesla has real lasting advantages in the software side of things, in comparison to every other car company, and I think that lead is more likely to grow over time, than shrink. From a recruiting standpoint, Tesla seems SO much sexier for a young software genius than going to work for Ford. The real deal, saving the planet company mission, allows them to get away with working those geniuses much harder too.
zero margin calls despite my being on margin close to $7Since you said you were leveraged to the hilt at $380+ you must have had some epic margin calls over the past couple of weeks. How's that working out? I've been avoiding margin so my daily swings stay under $1M.
zero margin calls despite my being on margin close to $7
my margin equity did fall to 44% but no worries
how much stock are you holding?
don't have to state if you don't want to
it's all good
I am tempted to buy even more but too scared to do so
SP hit close to my buying target of 330s.
Bought 20 shares @ $350s and 30 shares @ $330s. Next target is 50 shares $310s
These are my trading shares as I sold off at 20 shares @ $360 and 30 shares $380 in the recent past. Had it gone to $400 I would have sold 50 shares. I keep 100 shares for trading purposes. This strategy been ok so may increase it up by ~50 shares.