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Australian Model Y Waiting Room

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So I am going to do some thinking out loud for the WA guys and gals waiting in here like myself, feel free to let us know what you think or to add anything, going to call this an alphaprime moment ;)

Comet Ace​

She's been a disappointment along with the previous swallow ace, whislt a direct shipment is rare, with the vins being allocated in the East and NZ, this was always going to be a prime candidate. Thursday is definitly still a possiblity for vins but starting to think the ship has sailed on this one, hope I eat my words though.

Swift Ace​

Vins from the 13th?
She's come from Singapore to Shanghai with probably not many if any cars on board and her draught in Shanghai changed from 7.4m to 8.9m and now heading to Thailand so it's safe to say it's taken on a fair few cars from Shanghai. Noting also the Chang Da Long has been running Teslas, BYD and more to Thailand every few weeks, its a good chance the cars onboard aren't all if any, destined for thailand. The Martorell with transfer ship Victorious Ace was the last to do the via Thailand run and it took close to a month and a half to arrive in Freo.

Marguerite Ace​

Vins from the 13th if not from Swift?
Due to depart Shanghai shortly for Singapore. Has been to Japan recently and its draught went from 8.4m to 9.2m meaning she's close to being full but at least partly full of Japanese cars.

Mermaid Ace​

She's the next on the NAPEX route which is what seems to be the route most have come on via Singapore, was also the same route Swallow ace was on. Departs Shanghai on the 21/2 and finish it's NAPEX route through Guangzhou/Mcid to Singapore. This probably wouldn't arrive before end of Q1 or at least deliveries won't.

Transfer Ships​

If Swift or Marguerite does eventuate for WA, Swift ace would actually be the prime candidate for WA otherwise it will head for Japan. Marguerite could also do its own trip to WA but I suspect the cars onboard are heading to Europe/Middle East noting the Japanese cars onboard. Eternal Ace is finishing its run in the middle east and returning to Thailand looking rather empty so definitly picking cars up in Thailand on the 20/2. Precious Ace is also finishing it's trip to africa and likely to return to Asia in the next couple weeks.

Thanks for listening to my TED talk
are you sure old mate McGowan hasnt left the Covid “No Entry“ signs up ?
 
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I've got the same message and a text. But still Feb-May timeline for me. My order date is Jan though for the MY RWD. I am thinking I got it in error as looking at when others had placed the order, I have no hope of receiving the car anytime before 6 months.
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What was the exact date you ordered in January and the specs (colour/interior/wheels)?
 
I ordered my model y - white with black in October. No vin allocated yet. App still says Feb - may. Delivery to Adelaide. Anyone know what to expect for getting a vin allocated?
There is a thread that explains this process well: What to expect when you're expecting (Australia Delivery Process)

But, for the record, I ordered only a few days after orders opened in Australia for the Model Y RWD (17th of June 2022) and my date still says Feb - May...so given that we both have the same dates, while we ordered months apart, probably tells you that the time-order curve is hyperbolic. In short, there is no telling how long it will take for the initial orders to be worked through but then, all of a sudden, months of orders are likely to be allocated VINs and all be delivered close to each other.

In short, Tesla has not worked through the initial spike yet but I expect them too soon. Being honest with myself, I'm not expecting my Model Y until Apr-May timeframe. If I have to eat these words then I will be happy to be proven wrong.

This is all just my opinion so YMMV...but that's all we really have in this thread. AFAICT nobody here works for Tesla such that they could give an official answer.

P.S. You can always hope that somebody will cancel in-front of you and that you'll get their car that happens to have the exact same config options.
 
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