Thought I would post the year end solar/wind/renewable charts now that all the data is in from CAISO. Some comments following each of the charts:
New peak SPV production of 3,581,294 MWh for the month of July. Not that surprising, the prior years peak was a bit lower than expected. August through October of 2020 were all lower than 2019 likely due to the fires. December 2019 must have been a dismal month. I went back and double checked the raw data, and indeed the Ivanpah site was off more than on, and statewide SPV was very spotty (lots of rain/snow).
The overall values for 2020 driving the above chart are as follows:
Total Power: 218,605,012
SPV: 29,140,554
Wind: 15,679,735
All Renewables: 60,022,372 so 27.46% for the year, 2019 was 27.57%.
Looks like 2020 was lower due to much less hydro power as it was a much drier year than 2019, and the fires reducing the solar power output. Wind output was also slightly down.
The above shows that in the 2015 time frame when less SPV was installed, the monthly MWh routinely increased year over year. Once the installed base got large enough, seasonal variations play a much larger role, so you start seeing some values below the zero line. That will continue to be the case going forward, barring some monster installation relative to the currently installed base.
The overall downward trend in total power showed a slight rise later in the year. I think this could be related to more people working from home and increased A/C usage during the summer months.
Probably the best indicator of installed solar and wind capacity that can be derived from the data set is the single day showing max peak power. CAISO shows max peak power every day.
SPV Max Peak: 2019 = 10,924 MW, 2020 = 11,502 MW
Wind Max Peak: 2019 = 5,271 MW, 2020 = 5,466 MW
SPV power is often curtailed, so it could very well be that the installed base is greater than what the above shows, but that curtailment is reflected in the max peak. Not sure about that though.
RT