You are absolutely correct: I am new here, to this thread at least, but have been on the forums since May of 2016. I was anxious at that time about delivery of my S and we had threads about orders and VINs and rumors. I waited for about 6 weeks for my MS and it was a long, agonizing wait. But I also spent that time in the "waiting room" thread where we shared stuff like you all are doing.
I came to this thread hoping to glean some info on when my MY might be delivered as I ordered in July. But, as I found out, this really isn't a thread about current delivery times but rather something like a waiting room. So, have at it I don't care what you talk about. But, I figured you were all new to the forums and tried to politely suggest much of the information you are looking for is elsewhere. And so, I too, will have to search elsewhere for current delivery times. But I assume you understand the confusion.
We have identified a few trends in this thread that may be helpful to you:
1) The initial delivery estimate that Tesla had on the build page the day you placed your order seems to be reliable. I ordered 7/7, Tesla’s estimate at the time was “September” and I took delivery on 9/22, so they were correct in my case. My brother in-law ordered 7/25 (using the same delivery center) and the estimate by that point was already November. He is still vinless and waiting
2) Geographic region does matter. I’m assuming you’re in FL from your title? If so, we’ve typically seen the East Coast get a bunch of deliveries during the second month of the quarter, so I’d guess November again
3) Some colors and features seem to be more rare. Red and MSM appear to be produced very infrequently. Also, white interior appear to be a bit slower than black and 7 seaters seem to take forever. If you want to share your build details, I’m sure there’s at least someone on here who has a similar build and can share their experience. If nothing else, you’ll feel like you’re not the only one.
4) The date when your profile was totally completed seems to be your “official” order date. If you’ve made any changes to the initial order, that can reset your place in the queue. “Changes” include any of the build specs, and also adding/removing a trade vehicle.
This thread is full of knowledge and it’s really like a little community. It’s fun to make “friends” with users you get to know and to be able to cheer for them and celebrate when they get their VINs and cars. Our MY is our first Tesla and I learned so much about it from this thread. I also feel like if I was doing a big road trip in the MY, I could say that on here and get tons of recommendations for places to see, eat, and charge from the members, which I think is really cool
good luck with your wait!