If Tesla can still sell more cars than they can make, as some affirm, why have they cut prices so drastically over the last few months?
Good question indeed
UK Tesla Q1 sales are down notably on last year
Model-Y first arrived here Q1 last year - a lot of interest in that - including me! (sure, they had to make them to fulfil the order backlog, but maybe they were busy with LHD in other countries up until that point and then did a big batch of RHD / RoRo ship charters etc. for UK)
My tea-leaf gazing is:
More production coming on stream. Need to create a market for those cars, and driving people from competitors to self seems reasonable. Price drop will help with that.
Prices have been regularly increased over the last year or two. Some of that was supply issues (so reasonable to expect prices to come back down as that eases), but some was also to reduce the backlog. Tesla (unlike other marques) didn't want "years of waiting". So put the price up to put some people off. That only partially worked, so they put the price up again ... and again. So their margin has been higher than even they needed / expected, and higher than pre-pandemic.
The Q1 financials were "as expected" and "slightly better" in places, and yet Tesla took a massive hit on stock price. I have no idea why. Maybe Musk telling investors that there was a lot of value in shipping FSD as the existing fleet would all become money-earning RoboTaxis. The investors know that they just don't believe that's "any time soon" (same as 99.9% of folk here
)
But their Q1 margin, given the recent price cuts, was stronger than expected, so either their "reduce component count" is working - or components price is returning to pre-pandemic levels (as we hear for other industry sectors).
Also, "lots of inventory" at each quarter end needs to be considered in terms of overall numbers. If Tesla are making 2x as many cars as last year, then having 2x as much inventory at each quarter-end seems reasonable (actually, for me, I'd be happy with a higher number). Tesla are making "for stock", and then matching to customers orders, so if they choose to make "Lots of black ones" then that will be excess inventory at end of quarter, and if anyone wants a car in a hurry they have to compromise on "Any colour you want as long as it is black". If the inventory is shifted in Month 1 of the quarter that covers the period when no boats are arriving from China.
So for me the price drop is to encourage people away from other brands, at a time when more production capacity is coming on line, and to also start a price war before the other brands re good and ready. "We've got our ducks in a row, don't sit on our hands waiting for them to be ready too"
Time will tell of course ...