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Just rolled through that stop sign not giving two shits. Just like an average person would. I'd say it's ready
This is a good example of trolling.Are you suggesting they can’t do robotaxis next year, as pronounced, without new cameras, computers and/or other hardware? Just hyperbole and selling FSD for $6000 today, with today’s hardware and they know it’s not possible? If so, that would be fraud, no?
It only works between two cars...This is actually amazing to me. I simply cannot get it to work if there are no vehicles parked on either side. And I would never want to park somewhere next to another vehicle. Maybe your Autopark is better!
So you are saying it reliably backs you all the way into your spot every time? Pictures please! This is the last time I used it - admittedly only one vehicle here - I used it in this case because I was surprised to see it pop up (I've posted this before):
View attachment 458271
I agree that it may be useful to some people, but I would argue that the bar for Smart Summon should be to make it useful to as many people as possible.
As an investor in Tesla, I definitely do not want them to release Enhanced/Smart Summon yet. It only has downside risk for the company. Only excellent press, and excellent products, please. If it isn't excellent, don't release it (except to early access, which is fine as far as I am concerned - I don't have that).
EDIT: I can imagine that if you have no experience with reverse parking, and you can't do it (I saw your clarifying edits), Autopark would probably seem pretty awesome. I'm not sure this corner case is where we should set the bar, though. It turns out that reverse parking is really easy - arguably easier than parking forwards, when using the backup camera!
It only works between two cars...
Are you suggesting they can’t do robotaxis next year, as pronounced, without new cameras, computers and/or other hardware? Just hyperbole and selling FSD for $6000 today, with today’s hardware and they know it’s not possible? If so, that would be fraud, no?
Interesting perspective. Being a relatively new Tesla owner, I'm not 100% up to speed on promises of yesteryear, or what's in the bowls of AP1, AP2/2.5 software and/ or there limitations. Having said that, it sounds like you believe all software released today was/is optimized for the non HW3 platforms. Yes, I know it all "runs" on all non HW3 platforms, but does that mean cars running HW3 run this software less optimally (kind of like a bad port - Think of that retro tiny PS1 console that was released just before the holiday's last year for $99 - Boy was that a botch job)? I suppose, since the HW3 computer is a native Tesla design and not Nvidia, that probably is the case. The question is, has Tesla even started any software development optimized for HW3? If not, we are in for a loooooong dry spell...Actually within the context of this topic ”Enhanced Summon, where are you?” my only point is this:
I think it makes a certain amount of sense for Tesla — and indeed it looks to me as if Tesla is in the process of doing just that — to wrap up AP2/2.5, as it has become clear they will not have sufficient power to go where Tesla wants to go software 2.0 wise.
So to wrap up AP2/2.5, Tesla needs to deliver on what was promised: EAP (Enhanced Autopilot). I think we can ignore the AP1 parity on traffic sign recognition, because I think Tesla may just forget about that one as it was not in the Design Studio but an indirect obligation based on a verbal comment... and they could say it has been superceded by database and Fleet Speed etc.
So what is missing? Enhanced Summon as it was on the AP2 website. They need to deliver that missing piece (and it helps that they can probably recognize some revenue out of it).
Once NoA and Enhanced Summon are delivered to most markets (where legal), EAP is done and Tesla can start to mothball AP2/2.5 like they have done with AP1, small maintenance updates only, and focus on FSD on HW3 (retrofitted HW2/2.5 included) which will allow them to take the next step in how the autonomous dream is pursued. I think they will leave AP2/2.5 in perpetual beta, like AP1.
At this point HW3 will start running new NNs etc and the EAP fleet with the old, simpler logic etc may be left behind. EAP cars will have the old Summon, old Enhanced Summon, old Autopark. Eventually FSD on HW3 will solve the parking lot, all this and more in new and better ways, is the hope.
Now... when does one believe FSD on HW3 will achieve all the promised things on Autonomy Investor Day? Another thread maybe.
Interesting perspective. Being a relatively new Tesla owner, I'm not 100% up to speed on promises of yesteryear, or what's in the bowls of AP1, AP2/2.5 software and/ or there limitations. Having said that, it sounds like you believe all software released today was/is optimized for the non HW3 platforms. Yes, I know it all "runs" on all non HW3 platforms, but does that mean cars running HW3 run this software less optimally (kind of like a bad port - Think of that retro tiny PS1 console that was released just before the holiday's last year for $99 - Boy was that a botch job)? I suppose, since the HW3 computer is a native Tesla design and not Nvidia, that probably is the case. The question is, has Tesla even started any software development optimized for HW3? If not, we are in for a loooooong dry spell...
Interesting perspective. Being a relatively new Tesla owner, I'm not 100% up to speed on promises of yesteryear, or what's in the bowls of AP1, AP2/2.5 software and/ or there limitations. Having said that, it sounds like you believe all software released today was/is optimized for the non HW3 platforms. Yes, I know it all "runs" on all non HW3 platforms, but does that mean cars running HW3 run this software less optimally (kind of like a bad port - Think of that retro tiny PS1 console that was released just before the holiday's last year for $99 - Boy was that a botch job)? I suppose, since the HW3 computer is a native Tesla design and not Nvidia, that probably is the case. The question is, has Tesla even started any software development optimized for HW3? If not, we are in for a loooooong dry spell...
Obviously I ”know” nothing about Tesla’s private plans so this is all just theory I am toying with.
So, here’s what I think would be the case if this theory proves correct:
I believe all current software, including the one that actually runs on HW3, is basically optimized for the lowest common denominator that is HW2 (with a few HW2.5+ features) and runs fairly similarly well. But in my theory Tesla will stop developing this current software fairly soon, once EAP is delivered. After this they would merely provide maintenance type of updates for EAP as well as HW2/2.5 in general.
And that is what HW2/2.5 would in my theory run for all eternity. Once Tesla has delivered on its software promises to HW2/HW2.5 that would be the end of that. Exception would be HW2/2.5 buyers that buy FSD and get HW3 computer retrofitted, after which they would fall into the HW3 category in this theory.
At this current stage HW3 too runs this ”soon obsolete” software — or a similar variant that is slightly adjusted for HW3 as there are of course already some lower level differences today. So everything in public runs ”the same stuff” at the moment (except for the token HW2.5+ only features of course).
The difference is: Unlike HW2/2.5, HW3 would not run this codebase for all eternity. Once the ”old world” is wrapped up, HW3 cars would start introducing new stuff that will eventually replace the old codebase, perhaps entirely... similar to how AP2 was initially a sort of bad clone of AP1 but eventually went in a different direction. HW3 at some point would start replacing HW2/2.5 code with completely new stuff that would not be backported to HW2/2.5.
It is just a theory.
Just rolled through that stop sign not giving two shits. Just like an average person would. I'd say it's ready
So, in conclusion, "no developed and optimized for HW3" code arriving in our M3's anytime in the foreseeable future; and certainly not "Feature complete" and running on HW3 by year's end (2020 even). That's the take-away for me, "IF" your "hypothesis" is correct.
This has essentially been my line of thinking as well. I don’t think it’s too far off base. Also explains why smart summon is taking so long and will ultimately be an entirely different beast with FSD computer and future software and NN training.Obviously I ”know” nothing about Tesla’s private plans so this is all just theory I am toying with.
So, here’s what I think would be the case if this theory proves correct:
I believe all current software, including the one that actually runs on HW3, is basically optimized for the lowest common denominator that is HW2 (with a few HW2.5+ features) and runs fairly similarly well. But in my theory Tesla will stop developing this current software fairly soon, once EAP is delivered. After this they would merely provide maintenance type of updates for EAP as well as HW2/2.5 in general.
And that is what HW2/2.5 would in my theory run for all eternity. Once Tesla has delivered on its software promises to HW2/HW2.5 that would be the end of that. Exception would be HW2/2.5 buyers that buy FSD and get HW3 computer retrofitted, after which they would fall into the HW3 category in this theory.
At this current stage HW3 too runs this ”soon obsolete” software — or a similar variant that is slightly adjusted for HW3 as there are of course already some lower level differences today. So everything in public runs ”the same stuff” at the moment (except for the token HW2.5+ only features of course).
The difference is: Unlike HW2/2.5, HW3 would not run this codebase for all eternity. Once the ”old world” is wrapped up, HW3 cars would start introducing new stuff that will eventually replace the old codebase, perhaps entirely... similar to how AP2 was initially a sort of bad clone of AP1 but eventually went in a different direction. HW3 at some point would start replacing HW2/2.5 code with completely new stuff that would not be backported to HW2/2.5.
It is just a theory.
I am not sure that necessarily follows. Let’s assume for a moment that still during September Tesla releases Enhanced Summon and calls ”Mission Accomplished” on EAP...
They would then be ”free” to focus on HW3 and FSD (and HW2/2.5 retrofits) as the HW2/2.5 would be ”done”. They may well have some NNs and code ready to roll for that in the wings that they have been holding back because of HW2/2.5 compatibility.
Yes, that was the question - Concurrent/dual development (with singular release) or serial development... I hope it's the former and not the later....
No, this is a good example of you not having a clue - based on most recent posts, it is you it seems that haven't heeded the advice of other TMC members, that is to knock it off beating on other people while you push your agenda, but rather focus on the specific thread issue or good news. You seem "hell-bent" on pushing your "TSLA-Long" agenda outside of the investment thread, even calling people you don't know "Shorts," "Trolls" in a confrontational manner (including myself a while back and I own TSLA stock)... As others have said, I too am glad you are not a moderator here on TMC... Yes, I can get very passionate and negative on a specific issue, like the FSD ordering page "Really" matter, so I'm not proclaiming that I'm a saint; but you have a different issue going on it seems... Look in the mirror and you might see a real "troll". Later.This is a good example of trolling.
Do you not think that they are working on updated HW3 to HW3.5 remember HW3 is built under a Dual architecture its first so its a beta only Tesla knows how far they are from HW3.5 then the question is when do they initiate software optimization to hardware needs.