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Reciprocity
Active Member
Duh... I worked at an arcade in Jr high, I should have known that. My memory is slipping with massive beer consumption.
Looking at a source from Reddit that indeed looks like to be true and this should be the last batch of existing owners
Current owners are given unlimited skips to the front • r/teslamotors
Reciprocity
Active Member
Tesla absolutely knows. They have the buttons which record those preferences already on their site. They don't know exact options, but they know which main category for a large enough group to be statistically relevant. They also know the most popular options for the recent orders so they have a pretty good idea what people want at this point.
Bloomberg Tesla Model 3 Tracker: We Set Out to Crack Tesla's Biggest Mystery: How Many Model 3s It's Making
bdy0627
Active Member
Yep, I just got my invite and I reserved about 1 month ago.
bdy0627
Active Member
I reserved mine in 2018 and just got my invite.
Nice. So just to make an educated guess, this was the longest break between invite groups, at exactly 3 weeks. It also includes owners who reserved mere days ago, which would seem to imply that the next group will include at least some non-owners. Assuming the same (longest) wait for the next group, that means we may see the first non-owner invites by March 7th.
Woot?
bdy0627
Active Member
It sounds like many (most?) of us are deferring. I'm in the midwest and definitely want AWD, so I'll be waiting for that. I think non-owner invites probably will go out in early to mid March. That should give the stock a little boost perhaps.
Waiting4M3
Active Member
Just want to point out that the 500K people who made reservations is also somewhat a self-selective sample size
I don't get how reasonable people can keep inventing demand issues for Tesla. Given the track record that Tesla has never over-spent and over-produced past their demand, and that they've stuffed their product pipeline for the next 3-5 years with new products that people are salivating over, I don't see any justification for demand concerns. So what if in the end there is only demand for 500K M3 a year? There are plenty of other products that Tesla can sell, and probably will be production constrained for a long time. Is demand really a concern for 2020, or 2021 or even 2022?
Waiting4M3
Active Member
I'm not deferring. My 1st production delivery estimate says Apr-Jun, but wouldn't mind if some folks in front of me want to give me their spot.
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Dennisj00
Member
Earlier today couldn’t get to my account page but just checked and there’s the invitation!
3-6 weeks!
3-6 weeks!
Current owner s and x, Just got my invite ordered Feb 1.
Just want to point out that the 500K people who made reservations is also somewhat a self-selective sample size
My view of personal wealth is not accurate.
I think there is some jitter on the delivery of the "Dual motor either range." Mine moved from mid 2018 to late 2018. (note: Even if I bought the more expensive model 3 the date would be July to September.)
I think they received enough new orders for the rear wheel drive car currently in production to meet margin targets without needing to pull 4wd into the mix. Probably a good call.
This reminds me of a time I offered to buy an Acura Integra in Plano. The sales manager was very candid. He said, "Your offer is a lot of money. But the market for that car, in Plano, is higher."
I think they received enough new orders for the rear wheel drive car currently in production to meet margin targets without needing to pull 4wd into the mix. Probably a good call.
This reminds me of a time I offered to buy an Acura Integra in Plano. The sales manager was very candid. He said, "Your offer is a lot of money. But the market for that car, in Plano, is higher."
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Yuri_G
Member
I'm liking the more conservative estimates going out with this latest batch of invites. Sounds like people with March-May estimates are getting invites. Once they configure, 3-6 weeks to get the Model 3. I feel like more realistic expectations are needed for Tesla (and the longs).
Am I the only owner in here who has not yet received an invitation? Order placed on the evening of day 1.
Let me help you understand the buyers of M3: it’s the rich “dummy!” Yet again we are underestimating the cheapness of the rich. Way too many rich buyer can and should buy MS/MX yet they are not. Why? Because they are cheap! Don’t worry about taking full advantage of the 7.5K credit because they will have enough and if not they will find ways to pull forward taxable income. So let’s put that to rest as the super majority of M3 buyers are the rich. Period. Had Tesla came out with the 35K M3 first you better bet they would go for a 35K M3. Thank you Tesla.
dmckinstry
Model X 2019
You can have mine. I'm waiting for AWD and cash. I made the mistake of buying my Model S when the SP reached $94. If I'd waited a few months I would have only had to sell only a fourth to a third if my shares, instead of the nearly half of my shares that I did sell.I'm not deferring. My 1st production delivery estimate says Apr-Jun, but wouldn't mind if some folks in front of me want to give me their spot.
dmckinstry
Model X 2019
I've gotten the invitation(several weeks ago), and I reserved on April 3, 2016. I'm on the West Coast, if that makes a difference.
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