Red Sage
The Cybernetic Samurai
I remind you that the Model ☰ was developed as a competitor to the BMW 3-Series. I have intimated for quite some time, nearly a full three years now, that I believe this means there will be multiple variants of the Model ☰. Many here and at the Tesla Forum have disagreed with me on this point.Model 3, as a sedan, and Model X as a bit of a weirdmobile with strange doors and limited folding in 6/7 seaters are not quite as versatile.
Elon Musk has said repeatedly that the initial Tesla Generation III release would not be the most adventurous version of the car. He has said that other iterations would be coming. He has told us that in order to avoid perceived delays due to 'feature creep' and other complaints levied against Tesla in times past, they would make sure the Model ☰ was as simple as possible... to start.
I find it interesting that you now criticize that course of action, as if it is 'too conservative'.
To reiterate what I have pointed out in times past... The BMW 3-Series is available in multiple configurations that I expect Tesla Model ☰ will eventually match.
3-Series Sedan ___ Model ☰ Sedan
3-Series Sports Wagon ___ Model ☰ Wagon
3-Series Gran Turismo ___ Model ☰ Crossover (possibly Model Y)
3-Series Coupe (now 4-Series) ___ Model ☰ Coupe (with Falcon Wing Doors!)
3-Series (now 4-Series) Convertible ___ Model ☰ Convertible/Cabriolet
3-Series Sports Wagon ___ Model ☰ Wagon
3-Series Gran Turismo ___ Model ☰ Crossover (possibly Model Y)
3-Series Coupe (now 4-Series) ___ Model ☰ Coupe (with Falcon Wing Doors!)
3-Series (now 4-Series) Convertible ___ Model ☰ Convertible/Cabriolet
We already know of the Model ☰ Sedan. It will be important, I think, to satisfy as many outstanding Reservations for it as possible, and get the Production rate up to speed, before introducing new variants.
A Model ☰ Wagon might appear to satisfy those in Europe who claim they can't live without one. The 'estate' format is apparently much more popular there than is a 'saloon'.
The Model Y may end up being a lightly modified higher seating Crossover with liftback like the 3-Series Gran Turismo... Or it might instead be a 'Compact SUV' sized more like the BMW X3 and placed to compete against it and top sellers such as the Honda CR-V and Toyota RAV4.
There is also the chance that the Model Y will be designed to be all three in one, Wagon, Crossover, and SUV. I think it could be done beautifully, in an untraditional manner, similar to the Model X only smaller. Though there will certainly be protests from those that demand what they would consider a 'more focused' (read, ordinary & plain) design.
I am certain that a Coupe is probably not on the near horizon at all. Everyone else will have to get what they want before there is the slightest chance I will get the car I want to see. That's OK. I don't mind waiting.
The general presumption is that 'Coupes don't sell well' for some reason. I have always thought that if you build them, people with buy them. I take note that during 2016, three American performance cars that are only available as Coupes or Convertibles were in the top thirty passenger cars sold in the U.S.: #17 Ford Mustang (105,932), #27 Chevrolet Camaro (72,705), #30 Dodge Challenger (64,433). The BMW 4-Series was #50 at 35,763 units, but it includes their Gran Coupe 4-door version as well as the Coupes and Convertibles. Wouldn't it be nice if Tesla could similarly offer an American Muscle Car that was fully electric, just to drive home the point? I'd like to see that car on the market by 2020.
It is extremely unlikely that Tesla will offer a true Convertible/Cabriolet, without targa top or roll bar, due to safety concerns. If they were to do so, I'd hope they use Model ☰ Coupe format. But current indications are that it would be a two-seater instead, a new version of the Roadster. I'd prefer to see both of those, as well as a third car, another two-seater, but a hypercar, designed to demolish the current crop of multi-million dollar supercars from ICE manufacturers for considerably less money.
These are the cars I hope and expect from Tesla over the next few years. Most will be based upon their Generation III technology, which debuts in the Model ☰ later this year. I like to dream big.