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The Motley Fool is run by smart people. But they have a bunch of writers who provide a variety of viewpoints. You can look at what these writers say about Tesla if you need any convincing that they're a bunch of ignoramuses.I thought the Fool was run by smart people? Their thesis is that the GME contracts will all be exercised. Yeah that’s dumb. Robinhood automatically sells options if you don’t have the cash on hand which almost nobody will. Other brokers do the same, and that’s if the holders are too stupid to sell themselves.
The Worst Mistake GameStop Investors Can Make Right Now | The Motley Fool
Ha, I can't keep up!
https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1355580731980869637?s=20
Chamath writes: "r/wallstreetbets is now the largest hedge fund in the world. Excepts it’s completely decentralized and entirely democratic."
Elon talking on Clubhouse. Vlad from RH comes on for the last 20 mins. Reasonable excuse for his behaviour involving NSCC requesting $3Bn... Elon lets him off the hook but is not left satisfied.
Naked shorting is a real problem, but this person might not be aware that the total number of shares long is the number of shares outstanding plus the number of shares sold short. For example when shorts were at 140% of 65M shares outstanding, shorts held -91M shares and longs held 156M shares (65 + 1.40*65). So it is entirely possible that retail longs could hold more than 65M shares. No naked shorting is necessary for this to be the case.
i went looking at the failure to deliver for mid to end december. Is this significant?
SEC.gov | Fails-to-Deliver Data
The thesis on this one is that somebody has been creating shares they are not allowed to. Being a total dabbler at this, having been in markets only since early 1980's, I find this education fascinating. Is 5,969,693 FTD shares a lot?
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Robinhood was far from the only one. Funny how our financial system can handle millions of high speed transactions from bots but a few hundred thousand random people almost cause it to crash.If he had to lock out buying by retail, then he should have simultaneously locked out selling by hedgefunds. Instead, what he did lead to a $400 drop in shareprice in 40 min on Thu morning. Unjustifiable, given that he knew in advance that is what his action would cause.
Unethical AF.
@Artful DodgerUh, no. FTD reports from Dec 2020 show about 6 MILLION undelivered shares, back when the SP was about avg of just $17 bux (now it >350, or 20x higher!)
This massive amount of FTD's wouldn't happen if these extra short sale trades when through the Clearing Houses normally. This is NAKED SHORTING. That's why the shares couldn't be located, thus generating the FTD report.
Here's the FTD data from Dec:
It is interesting that the media takes their word for "closing their short position". I don't trust those snakes.The hedge fund closed its position in GameStop at a loss last week, however Melvin investors including Point 72 and Citadel pumped in $2.75bn, helping it to end January with $8bn in assets, down from $12.5bn at the start of the year."
It is interesting that the media takes their word for "closing their short position". I don't trust those snakes.
OH, we did, we did.
We closed it for about 10 minutes before opening a new one at $310.
It’s a buyer and a seller that should be matched and some balance be transferred from one account to the next?
implement as a Solidity contract.
Am I totally misunderstanding how the stockmarket works?
correct.
and correct,
and yes, because it’s not that simple.
people are forgetting the importance of how clearing and settlement work
all participants make up the clearing house NSCC and depository DTCC and clearing/depo OCC.
those entities perform functions at a fee paid by participants. but more importantly they don’t put up the capital required to clear and settle all the net trades from each participant, the participant does.
so when you have unprecedented events, or extreme volatility, the margin requirement is raised to collectively cover the asses of all the participants. they all pucker up when you have storms like this, because they don’t want to be sitting across from an AIG or Lehman like entity again, when it could have easily been prevented. how? well since 08-09 they now are subject to more strict enforcement and higher margin requirements. it works.
simple example.
broker A, B, C, D,
inv bank 1, 2, and 3
HF x, y, and z
all 10 market players above self clear and are direct nscc and dtcc participants
let’s pretend that most of them are typical well run, and well capitalized.
however one of the brokers and one of the hedge funds isn’t so tightly wound.
the brokers risk mgmt software and fin/reg reporting is relatively green. and it’s customer base is also generally green and more yolo trading than another typical brokers customer base.
the hedge fund is slimy and high leverage into a small handful of core positions (concentration risk)
they get caught off guard in this gme and amc fiasco. nscc and occ are requiring increased margin for clearing of stock and options because of increased volatility, the value at risk, and concentrations in certain securities.
the 8 other well run entities can be impacted by the two not well run ones. the 10’are only as strong as all 10 of them combined in this case. they collectively have to post capital required to settle their trades, the fees for nscc, dtcc, and occ to perform tasks and reporting, and a ‘haircut’ as a buffer for any normal market swings. in times like this that buffer goes way up.
if bad broker and bad HF implode, the first ones to get burned are the other 8 entities, as they have intermingled exposure to them on their books, unsettled trades FTD/FTR, stock loan, etc etc..the “systemic” risk that was thrown around during 08-09
by the way it’s the representatives from market participants who are on the risk committees of NSCC, OCC, DTCC to help make and enforce these rules. they don’t want to be sitting on the other side of a lehman brothers again having to collectively get burned like, “who let the guy in the door with a loaded gun?” again.
the takeaway is,
it’s likely less a conspiracy and more a cover your @ss type series of events
like i said from the beginning, the CYA behavior can go a bit overboard...but nobody wants to lose their shirt.
aaaaaaand, MOST importantly, in my eyes,
if we had any respectable oversight and enforcement agencies, maybe we wouldn’t have these scenarios. maybe we wouldn’t have blow ups. maybe even the individual customer would be more protected
but these agencies are neutered. so this is what you get.
and people who think that the individual customer has the “right” to trade whatever and whenever clearly hasn’t read their broker agreement. for example, if RH sends most of their order flow to Citadel, i’m pretty sure Citadel could be like, dude, we can’t execute these orders, we’ll get killed executing these so you have to put a choke on this crap for a while....yes it sounds unlikely but it may be totally possible and within their right, and would mean that RH needs to diversify its order routing across more liquidity providers or potentially buck up and go direct to exchanges, but the costs associated with that mean no more free trading, or no more lush profits.